Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 31/07, 12:30

Prediction: Whittlesea United vs Eastern Lions

Team pages: Whittlesea United · Eastern Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Whittlesea United1.41

Eastern Lions1.32

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Whittlesea United Draw Eastern Lions

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Whittlesea United 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

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Eastern Lions 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLDWDD

Head-to-head

Whittlesea United 0–1–0 Eastern Lions (1 last)

Eastern Lions1-1Whittlesea United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Whittlesea United 1544 · Eastern Lions 1502

	Whittlesea United	Draw	Eastern Lions
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1544 vs 1502).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Whittlesea United	Eastern Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 6.7	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +3’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Whittlesea United 0–1–0 Eastern Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Eastern Lions	1-1 HT 0-0	Whittlesea United

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	21	15	1	5	51	24	46
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	21	14	4	3	47	28	46
3	Essendon Royals	22	13	2	7	54	33	41
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
5	Box Hill United	21	9	6	6	33	26	33
6	Keilor Park	20	10	1	9	27	28	31
7	Whittlesea United	22	7	9	6	32	23	30
8	Springvale White Eagles	22	7	5	10	26	39	26
9	Eastern Lions	21	6	7	8	32	28	25
10	Nunawading	21	7	4	10	21	34	25
11	Werribee City	22	5	6	11	31	41	21
12	Kingston City	21	6	2	13	23	47	20
13	Altona City	22	3	8	11	18	31	17
14	Moreland City SC	19	2	6	11	24	48	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Whittlesea United	Eastern Lions
Altona City	0-0 D	0-2 L
Kingston City	1-1 D	4-0 W
Box Hill United	3-1 W	1-1 D
Bayside Argonauts FC	3-4 L	1-1 D
Werribee City	4-0 W	2-1 W
Springvale White Eagles	2-0 W	0-0 D
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Moreland City SC	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Whittlesea United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
17/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
19/06	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
12/06	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
05/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
30/05	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	3	6	D

Eastern Lions

LWLDWLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
17/07	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/06	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/06	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
30/05	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
22/05	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	4-0	6	0	W
08/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Whittlesea United vs Eastern Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Whittlesea United win (39%). Probabilities: Whittlesea United 39%, draw 26%, Eastern Lions 35%.

How many goals are expected in Whittlesea United vs Eastern Lions?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Whittlesea United 1.41 · Eastern Lions 1.32), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Whittlesea United vs Eastern Lions?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.