Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 01/08, 07:00

Prediction: Werribee City vs Nunawading

Team pages: Werribee City · Nunawading

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Werribee City1.75

Nunawading1.38

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Werribee City Draw Nunawading

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Werribee City 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLLD

Nunawading 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Werribee City 4–1–0 Nunawading (5 last)

Nunawading1-4Werribee City
Nunawading1-2Werribee City
Werribee City0-0Nunawading
Nunawading0-1Werribee City
Werribee City3-1Nunawading

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Werribee City 1482 · Nunawading 1448

	Werribee City	Draw	Nunawading
Our model	45%	25%	29%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Werribee City: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Werribee City	Nunawading
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +3’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Werribee City 4–1–0 Nunawading

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	1-4 HT 0-3	Werribee City
01/08/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	1-2 HT 1-2	Werribee City
25/04/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Werribee City	0-0 HT 0-0	Nunawading
29/07/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	0-1 HT 0-1	Werribee City
02/07/17 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Werribee City	3-1 HT 1-1	Nunawading

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	21	15	1	5	51	24	46
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	21	14	4	3	47	28	46
3	Essendon Royals	22	13	2	7	54	33	41
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	21	11	5	5	40	29	38
5	Box Hill United	21	9	6	6	33	26	33
6	Keilor Park	20	10	1	9	27	28	31
7	Whittlesea United	22	7	9	6	32	23	30
8	Springvale White Eagles	22	7	5	10	26	39	26
9	Eastern Lions	21	6	7	8	32	28	25
10	Nunawading	21	7	4	10	21	34	25
11	Werribee City	22	5	6	11	31	41	21
12	Kingston City	21	6	2	13	23	47	20
13	Altona City	22	3	8	11	18	31	17
14	Moreland City SC	19	2	6	11	24	48	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Werribee City	Nunawading
Keilor Park	1-3 L	2-0 W
Eastern Lions	1-2 L	0-2 L
Altona City	0-0 D	0-0 D
Essendon Royals	2-3 L	1-5 L
Box Hill United	2-0 W	1-0 W
Bayside Argonauts FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kingston City	2-0 W	0-4 L
Springvale White Eagles	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Werribee City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Werribee City

LWLWLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-4	4-4	–	–	D
18/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
10/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/06	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
12/06	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-4	6	2	L
05/06	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
30/05	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
22/05	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
08/05	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	7	3	L

Nunawading

DWLDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
17/07	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/07	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
03/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-4	6	6	L
12/06	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
05/06	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/05	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	1-5	5	6	L
09/05	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/05	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Werribee City vs Nunawading?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Werribee City win (46%). Probabilities: Werribee City 46%, draw 24%, Nunawading 30%.

How many goals are expected in Werribee City vs Nunawading?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Werribee City 1.75 · Nunawading 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Werribee City vs Nunawading?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.