Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 24/07, 11:30
Prediction: Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Keilor Park1.4
Bayside Argonauts FC1.53
1X2
Keilor Park
Draw
Bayside Argonauts FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Keilor Park
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Bayside Argonauts FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Keilor Park
0–1
Bayside Argonauts FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keilor Park 1524 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1521
| Keilor Park | Draw | Bayside Argonauts FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 22% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keilor Park | Bayside Argonauts FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keilor Park 0–0–1 Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Keilor Park |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 38 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 35 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 31 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 37 | 26 |
| 9 | Nunawading | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 25 |
| 10 | Eastern Lions | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 24 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 37 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keilor Park | Bayside Argonauts FC |
|---|---|---|
| Werribee City | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Malvern City | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Nunawading | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Kingston City | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Eastern Lions | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Altona City | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Whittlesea United | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayside Argonauts FC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keilor Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bayside Argonauts FC win (41%). Probabilities: Keilor Park 35%, draw 24%, Bayside Argonauts FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Keilor Park 1.4 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1.53), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.