Prediction: Bayside Argonauts FC vs Essendon Royals
Expected goals: 3.94 (Bayside Argonauts FC 1.86 · Essendon Royals 2.08). The model gives 35% home, 22% draw, 43% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Bayside Argonauts FC with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Essendon Royals has piled up 7-0-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Bayside Argonauts FC and 0 for Essendon Royals.
| Bayside Argonauts FC | Draw | Essendon Royals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Essendon Royals (rating 1520 vs 1566).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayside Argonauts FC | Essendon Royals | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 2.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 3.4 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayside Argonauts FC 1–0–0 Essendon Royals
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Essendon Royals | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Bayside Argonauts FC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayside Argonauts FC | Essendon Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Werribee City | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Malvern City | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Springvale White Eagles | 0-2 L | 8-0 W |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Nunawading | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Moreland City SC | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Keilor Park | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Eastern Lions | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Essendon Royals (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Essendon Royals
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/04 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Essendon Royals?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Essendon Royals win (43%). Probabilities: Bayside Argonauts FC 35%, draw 22%, Essendon Royals 43%.
How many goals are expected in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Essendon Royals?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Bayside Argonauts FC 1.86 · Essendon Royals 2.08), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Essendon Royals?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.