Prediction: Werribee City vs Altona City
Expected goals: 2.54 (Werribee City 1.34 · Altona City 1.2). The model gives 40% home, 27% draw, 33% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Werribee City is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Altona City 1-4-5 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Werribee City won 0 and Altona City 2, with 1 draw.
| Werribee City | Draw | Altona City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Werribee City (rating 1489 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Altona City: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Werribee City | Altona City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Werribee City 0–1–2 Altona City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Altona City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Werribee City |
| 13/06/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Altona City | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Werribee City |
| 07/03/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Werribee City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Altona City |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Werribee City | Altona City |
|---|---|---|
| Essendon Royals | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Whittlesea United | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Kingston City | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Nunawading | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Moreland City SC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Werribee City (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Werribee City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Avondale Australia Victoria Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Altona City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Werribee City vs Altona City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Werribee City win (40%). Probabilities: Werribee City 40%, draw 27%, Altona City 33%.
How many goals are expected in Werribee City vs Altona City?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Werribee City 1.34 · Altona City 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Werribee City vs Altona City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.