Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad Fotboll

Team pages: FC Järfälla · IF Karlstad Fotboll

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

FC Järfälla1.64

IF Karlstad Fotboll1.8

1X2

34% 25% 41%

FC Järfälla Draw IF Karlstad Fotboll

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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IF Karlstad Fotboll 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–1 IF Karlstad Fotboll (1 last)

IF Karlstad Fotboll2-1FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1450 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1588

	FC Järfälla	Draw	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Our model	35%	24%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Karlstad Fotboll (rating 1450 vs 1588).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.4	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	2.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +3’	2.63	3.50	2.20
20:48 +2’	2.88▲	3.50	2.05▼
22:39 +1’	2.63▼	3.50	2.20▲
23:30 +22’	2.88▲	3.50	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–0–1 IF Karlstad Fotboll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	15	11	2	2	43	12	35
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	15	10	3	2	24	10	33
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	15	9	3	3	32	14	30
4	FC Arlanda	15	8	5	2	24	15	29
5	Enkopings SK	15	8	1	6	25	25	25
6	FBK Karlstad	15	7	3	5	23	22	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	15	6	4	5	24	24	22
8	Karlbergs BK	15	6	3	6	25	23	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	15	4	5	6	24	29	17
10	Gefle IF	15	5	2	8	19	29	17
11	Umeå FC	15	4	4	7	20	25	16
12	Vasalunds IF	15	4	4	7	21	31	16
13	FC Järfälla	15	4	3	8	21	31	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	15	2	8	5	13	20	14
15	Piteå IF	15	2	3	10	16	34	9
16	IFK Stocksund	15	1	5	9	28	38	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Umeå FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	0-2 L	0-1 L
Vasalunds IF	1-3 L	5-0 W
Gefle IF	4-0 W	2-0 W
Enkopings SK	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IF Karlstad Fotboll (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Järfälla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
28/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
23/06	FC Arlanda Sweden Cup	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
08/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	1-6	1	7	L
03/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
23/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-0	7	4	W
16/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
13/05	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	7	2	L

IF Karlstad Fotboll

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
24/07	Örebro Syrianska IF Club Friendly List	2-1	4-1	7	1	W
27/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	8	2	D
13/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
10/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden Cup	0-0	3-0	6	7	W
05/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
30/05	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
24/05	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IF Karlstad Fotboll win (41%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 34%, draw 25%, IF Karlstad Fotboll 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model expects 3.45 goals (FC Järfälla 1.64 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1.8), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.