Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 07/08, 19:30

Prediction: Enkopings SK vs Karlbergs BK

Team pages: Enkopings SK · Karlbergs BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Enkopings SK1.64

Karlbergs BK1.5

1X2

40% 25% 34%

Enkopings SK Draw Karlbergs BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Enkopings SK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Karlbergs BK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Enkopings SK 2–1–3 Karlbergs BK (6 last)

Karlbergs BK1-3Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK4-2Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK1-1Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK0-1Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK2-1Enkopings SK
Karlbergs BK3-1Enkopings SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enkopings SK 1541 · Karlbergs BK 1512

	Enkopings SK	Draw	Karlbergs BK
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Karlbergs BK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enkopings SK	Karlbergs BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:55 +7’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enkopings SK 2–1–3 Karlbergs BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	1-3 HT 0-0	Enkopings SK
24/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	4-2 HT 3-1	Karlbergs BK
18/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	1-1 HT 1-0	Enkopings SK
07/11/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Enkopings SK	0-1 HT 0-1	Karlbergs BK
18/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Karlbergs BK	2-1 HT 2-1	Enkopings SK
09/08/20 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Karlbergs BK	3-1 HT 2-1	Enkopings SK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	15	11	2	2	43	12	35
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	15	10	3	2	24	10	33
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	15	9	3	3	32	14	30
4	FC Arlanda	15	8	5	2	24	15	29
5	Enkopings SK	15	8	1	6	25	25	25
6	FBK Karlstad	15	7	3	5	23	22	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	15	6	4	5	24	24	22
8	Karlbergs BK	15	6	3	6	25	23	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	15	4	5	6	24	29	17
10	Gefle IF	15	5	2	8	19	29	17
11	Umeå FC	15	4	4	7	20	25	16
12	Vasalunds IF	15	4	4	7	21	31	16
13	FC Järfälla	15	4	3	8	21	31	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	15	2	8	5	13	20	14
15	Piteå IF	15	2	3	10	16	34	9
16	IFK Stocksund	15	1	5	9	28	38	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enkopings SK	Karlbergs BK
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-2 L	1-2 L
Vasalunds IF	1-1 D	4-0 W
Piteå IF	2-0 W	3-1 W
Hammarby TFF	0-1 L	0-2 L
Sollentuna United FF	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Järfälla	3-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Enkopings SK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
17/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden Cup	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
02/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	4	4	L
23/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/05	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
13/05	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	2	W

Karlbergs BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
21/07	Sollentuna United FF Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
24/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
18/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
14/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
10/06	Unik FK Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
04/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
31/05	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
23/05	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
16/05	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	10	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enkopings SK vs Karlbergs BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enkopings SK win (40%). Probabilities: Enkopings SK 40%, draw 25%, Karlbergs BK 34%.

How many goals are expected in Enkopings SK vs Karlbergs BK?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Enkopings SK 1.64 · Karlbergs BK 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Enkopings SK vs Karlbergs BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.