Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Karlbergs BK vs Vasalunds IF

Team pages: Karlbergs BK · Vasalunds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Karlbergs BK1.45

Vasalunds IF1.42

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Karlbergs BK Draw Vasalunds IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Karlbergs BK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWLLDW

Vasalunds IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLDLWL

Head-to-head

Karlbergs BK 2–2–2 Vasalunds IF (6 last)

Vasalunds IF0-4Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK0-0Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF2-0Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK3-1Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF3-1Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK2-2Vasalunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlbergs BK 1485 · Vasalunds IF 1449

	Karlbergs BK	Draw	Vasalunds IF
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karlbergs BK	Vasalunds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +7’	2.35	3.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlbergs BK 2–2–2 Vasalunds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	0-4 HT 0-3	Karlbergs BK
11/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	0-0 HT 0-0	Vasalunds IF
30/03/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	2-0 HT 2-0	Karlbergs BK
14/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	3-1 HT 2-0	Vasalunds IF
29/03/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	3-1 HT 0-1	Karlbergs BK
02/07/22 Sweden Cup Qualification	Karlbergs BK	2-2 HT 0-2	Vasalunds IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	25	18	3	4	60	20	57
2	FC Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46	28	48
3	AFC Eskilstuna	25	14	5	6	47	34	47
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51	25	45
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41	35	43
6	Enkopings SK	25	13	3	9	38	40	42
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	25	11	8	6	37	25	41
8	Assyriska Föreningen	25	9	5	11	43	45	32
9	Umeå FC	25	9	5	11	34	41	32
10	Karlbergs BK	25	9	5	11	33	41	32
11	Gefle IF	25	9	3	13	29	43	30
12	Vasalunds IF	25	7	6	12	36	52	27
13	Sollentuna United FF	25	5	9	11	24	36	24
14	Piteå IF	25	5	7	13	30	46	22
15	FC Järfälla	25	5	4	16	33	55	19
16	IFK Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45	61	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karlbergs BK	Vasalunds IF
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-2 L	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	1-0 W	1-4 L
Piteå IF	0-3 L	1-1 D
Hammarby TFF	0-0 D	0-0 D
IFK Stocksund	2-0 W	4-3 W
Enkopings SK	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlbergs BK

LWLDLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	3-2	4	7	W
27/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
20/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	0	L
17/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-5	5	3	L
12/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
06/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
31/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
23/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
15/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
07/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	6	1	L

Vasalunds IF

WDWLLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
27/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-5	2	4	L
17/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
06/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	0	L
30/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
23/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	6	2	W
16/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlbergs BK vs Vasalunds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karlbergs BK win (38%). Probabilities: Karlbergs BK 38%, draw 26%, Vasalunds IF 36%.

How many goals are expected in Karlbergs BK vs Vasalunds IF?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Karlbergs BK 1.45 · Vasalunds IF 1.42), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Karlbergs BK vs Vasalunds IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.