Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 18/10, 13:00

Prediction: Vasalunds IF vs AFC Eskilstuna

Team pages: Vasalunds IF · AFC Eskilstuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Vasalunds IF1.71

AFC Eskilstuna2.12

1X2

30% 23% 46%

Vasalunds IF Draw AFC Eskilstuna

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasalunds IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLWLD

AFC Eskilstuna 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWDL

Head-to-head

Vasalunds IF 5–1 AFC Eskilstuna (6 last)

AFC Eskilstuna0-3Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF4-2AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna0-2Vasalunds IF
AFC Eskilstuna2-3Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF0-1AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna1-2Vasalunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasalunds IF 1476 · AFC Eskilstuna 1534

	Vasalunds IF	Draw	AFC Eskilstuna
Our model	31%	22%	47%
Market	30%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1476 vs 1534).
H2H favours Vasalunds IF: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasalunds IF	AFC Eskilstuna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.75

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.78
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.10 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +7’	3.00	3.75	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:27 +50’	2.84	3.78	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasalunds IF 5–0–1 AFC Eskilstuna

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	0-3 HT 0-0	Vasalunds IF
19/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	4-2 HT 0-1	AFC Eskilstuna
24/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	0-2 HT 0-2	Vasalunds IF
29/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	2-3 HT 0-1	Vasalunds IF
14/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	0-1 HT 0-0	AFC Eskilstuna
18/09/21 Sweden Superettan	AFC Eskilstuna	1-2 HT 1-0	Vasalunds IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	26	19	3	4	63	21	60
2	FC Arlanda	26	14	6	6	46	31	48
3	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	48	37	47
5	Hammarby TFF	26	13	6	7	51	26	45
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	26	12	8	6	40	25	44
7	FBK Karlstad	26	12	7	7	41	36	43
8	Assyriska Föreningen	26	10	5	11	44	45	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	36	42	35
10	Karlbergs BK	26	9	6	11	36	44	33
11	Gefle IF	26	9	4	13	32	46	31
12	Vasalunds IF	26	7	7	12	39	55	28
13	Sollentuna United FF	26	6	9	11	27	36	27
14	Piteå IF	26	5	8	13	33	49	23
15	FC Järfälla	26	5	4	17	34	57	19
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasalunds IF	AFC Eskilstuna
Karlbergs BK	3-3 D	3-0 W
Gefle IF	1-0 W	0-1 L
Assyriska Föreningen	1-5 L	5-2 W
Hammarby TFF	0-0 D	1-0 W
FBK Karlstad	1-2 L	2-2 D
Piteå IF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasalunds IF

DWLLLDLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
04/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
27/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-5	2	4	L
17/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
06/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	0	L
30/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
23/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	6	2	W
16/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	2	3	D

AFC Eskilstuna

WWWWWWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
03/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-2	5	2	D
26/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	4-2	8	5	W
20/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-2	3	4	W
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasalunds IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Eskilstuna win (46%). Probabilities: Vasalunds IF 30%, draw 23%, AFC Eskilstuna 46%.

How many goals are expected in Vasalunds IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Vasalunds IF 1.71 · AFC Eskilstuna 2.12), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasalunds IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.