Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Piteå IF vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: Piteå IF · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Piteå IF1.56

Sollentuna United FF1.47

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Piteå IF Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Piteå IF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWWDD

Sollentuna United FF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLDLLW

Head-to-head

Piteå IF 2–2–2 Sollentuna United FF (6 last)

Sollentuna United FF2-2Piteå IF
Piteå IF0-3Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-1Piteå IF
Piteå IF1-0Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-4Piteå IF
Piteå IF1-1Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Piteå IF 1490 · Sollentuna United FF 1465

	Piteå IF	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Piteå IF	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.46 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +75’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:13 +2’	2.42	3.26	2.55
09:25 +53’	2.46▲	3.34▲	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Piteå IF 2–2–2 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-2 HT 0-1	Piteå IF
22/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	0-3 HT 0-1	Sollentuna United FF
28/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-1 HT 1-1	Piteå IF
10/09/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Sollentuna United FF
28/05/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-4 HT 0-3	Piteå IF
23/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	1-1 HT 1-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	26	19	3	4	63	21	60
2	FC Arlanda	26	14	6	6	46	31	48
3	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	48	37	47
5	Hammarby TFF	26	13	6	7	51	26	45
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	26	12	8	6	40	25	44
7	FBK Karlstad	26	12	7	7	41	36	43
8	Assyriska Föreningen	26	10	5	11	44	45	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	36	42	35
10	Karlbergs BK	26	9	6	11	36	44	33
11	Gefle IF	26	9	4	13	32	46	31
12	Vasalunds IF	26	7	7	12	39	55	28
13	Sollentuna United FF	26	6	9	11	27	36	27
14	Piteå IF	26	5	8	13	33	49	23
15	FC Järfälla	26	5	4	17	34	57	19
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Piteå IF	Sollentuna United FF
Gefle IF	3-3 D	1-0 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Järfälla	3-1 W	2-1 W
AFC Eskilstuna	0-1 L	1-2 L
Karlbergs BK	3-0 W	2-3 L
FBK Karlstad	3-4 L	0-0 D
Hammarby TFF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piteå IF

DDLWLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-3	6	4	D
03/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
27/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
20/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
16/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
13/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
06/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
30/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	8	0	L
23/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

Sollentuna United FF

WWLWLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
02/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	2-3	6	7	L
26/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
19/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piteå IF vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Piteå IF win (39%). Probabilities: Piteå IF 39%, draw 26%, Sollentuna United FF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Piteå IF vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Piteå IF 1.56 · Sollentuna United FF 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Piteå IF vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.