Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Assyriska Föreningen vs FBK Karlstad

Team pages: Assyriska Föreningen · FBK Karlstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Assyriska Föreningen1.56

FBK Karlstad1.64

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Assyriska Föreningen Draw FBK Karlstad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Assyriska Föreningen 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWLL

FBK Karlstad 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDDWD

Head-to-head

Assyriska Föreningen 2–1 FBK Karlstad (3 last)

FBK Karlstad0-2Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen2-3FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad3-5Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assyriska Föreningen 1507 · FBK Karlstad 1541

	Assyriska Föreningen	Draw	FBK Karlstad
Our model	36%	26%	39%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Assyriska Föreningen: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Assyriska Föreningen	FBK Karlstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +9’	2.50	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Assyriska Föreningen 2–0–1 FBK Karlstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	0-2 HT 0-0	Assyriska Föreningen
01/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	2-3 HT 0-2	FBK Karlstad
08/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	3-5 HT 2-4	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	25	18	3	4	60	20	57
2	FC Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46	28	48
3	AFC Eskilstuna	25	14	5	6	47	34	47
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51	25	45
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41	35	43
6	Enkopings SK	25	13	3	9	38	40	42
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	25	11	8	6	37	25	41
8	Assyriska Föreningen	25	9	5	11	43	45	32
9	Umeå FC	25	9	5	11	34	41	32
10	Karlbergs BK	25	9	5	11	33	41	32
11	Gefle IF	25	9	3	13	29	43	30
12	Sollentuna United FF	26	6	9	11	27	36	27
13	Vasalunds IF	25	7	6	12	36	52	27
14	Piteå IF	25	5	7	13	30	46	22
15	FC Järfälla	25	5	4	16	33	55	19
16	IFK Stocksund	26	3	6	17	45	64	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Assyriska Föreningen	FBK Karlstad
Piteå IF	1-2 L	4-3 W
Vasalunds IF	5-1 W	2-1 W
AFC Eskilstuna	2-5 L	2-2 D
Enkopings SK	1-2 L	2-0 W
FC Järfälla	2-0 W	3-0 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-0 W	0-0 D
Sollentuna United FF	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FBK Karlstad (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assyriska Föreningen

WWLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	6	6	L
27/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
21/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	5-1	3	4	W
17/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-5	7	4	L
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

FBK Karlstad

DWLWWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
27/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
19/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
16/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	1	0	W
23/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-5	1-5	4	3	L
16/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
09/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assyriska Föreningen vs FBK Karlstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FBK Karlstad win (39%). Probabilities: Assyriska Föreningen 36%, draw 25%, FBK Karlstad 39%.

How many goals are expected in Assyriska Föreningen vs FBK Karlstad?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Assyriska Föreningen 1.56 · FBK Karlstad 1.64), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Assyriska Föreningen vs FBK Karlstad?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.