Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska Föreningen

Team pages: Karlbergs BK · Assyriska Föreningen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Karlbergs BK1.82

Assyriska Föreningen1.64

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Karlbergs BK Draw Assyriska Föreningen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Karlbergs BK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDWDLD

Assyriska Föreningen 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Karlbergs BK 5–1 Assyriska Föreningen (6 last)

Assyriska Föreningen3-4Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK2-3Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen1-2Karlbergs BK
Assyriska Föreningen1-2Karlbergs BK
Assyriska Föreningen2-3Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK3-1Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlbergs BK 1484 · Assyriska Föreningen 1463

	Karlbergs BK	Draw	Assyriska Föreningen
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Karlbergs BK: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karlbergs BK	Assyriska Föreningen
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.70

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +83’	2.15	3.70	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlbergs BK 5–0–1 Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	3-4 HT 2-1	Karlbergs BK
25/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	2-3 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen
13/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	1-2 HT 0-2	Karlbergs BK
15/03/25 Club Friendly List	Assyriska Föreningen	1-2 HT 1-1	Karlbergs BK
03/11/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	2-3 HT 0-1	Karlbergs BK
26/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	3-1 HT 2-0	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karlbergs BK	Assyriska Föreningen
Umeå FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
FBK Karlstad	1-3 L	1-0 W
Vasalunds IF	3-3 D	5-1 W
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-2 L	0-3 L
FC Järfälla	0-5 L	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	1-0 W	1-3 L
Piteå IF	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlbergs BK

DLWLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
17/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	5	2	L
10/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
02/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	3-2	4	7	W
27/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
20/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	0	L
17/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-5	5	3	L
12/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
06/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
31/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Assyriska Föreningen

WWLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
18/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
11/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
03/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	6	6	L
27/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
21/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	5-1	3	4	W
17/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-5	7	4	L
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karlbergs BK win (42%). Probabilities: Karlbergs BK 42%, draw 24%, Assyriska Föreningen 34%.

How many goals are expected in Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Karlbergs BK 1.82 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.