Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: FBK Karlstad vs FC Stockholm Internazionale

Team pages: FBK Karlstad · FC Stockholm Internazionale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

FBK Karlstad1.15

FC Stockholm Internazionale2.03

1X2

20% 23% 57%

FBK Karlstad Draw FC Stockholm Internazionale

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FBK Karlstad 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Stockholm Internazionale 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FBK Karlstad 0–3 FC Stockholm Internazionale (3 last)

FC Stockholm Internazionale3-1FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad1-4FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale3-0FBK Karlstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FBK Karlstad 1535 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1622

	FBK Karlstad	Draw	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Our model	20%	23%	57%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1535 vs 1622).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FBK Karlstad	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +5’	4.33	4.00	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FBK Karlstad 0–0–3 FC Stockholm Internazionale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	3-1 HT 2-1	FBK Karlstad
28/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	1-4 HT 0-2	FC Stockholm Internazionale
11/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	3-0 HT 2-0	FBK Karlstad

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FBK Karlstad	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Gefle IF	0-1 L	1-1 D
Karlbergs BK	3-1 W	2-0 W
Assyriska Föreningen	0-1 L	3-0 W
AFC Eskilstuna	2-2 D	3-1 W
Umeå FC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Sollentuna United FF	0-0 D	2-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-0 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FBK Karlstad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
17/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	10	2	W
11/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
03/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
27/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
19/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
16/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	1	0	W

FC Stockholm Internazionale

WWWWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
17/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
03/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
26/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
17/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	5-0	5-2	6	2	W
13/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
05/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FBK Karlstad vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Stockholm Internazionale win (57%). Probabilities: FBK Karlstad 20%, draw 23%, FC Stockholm Internazionale 57%.

How many goals are expected in FBK Karlstad vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model expects 3.18 goals (FBK Karlstad 1.15 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 2.03), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.