Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Sollentuna United FF vs Gefle IF

Team pages: Sollentuna United FF · Gefle IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Sollentuna United FF1.43

Gefle IF1.38

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Sollentuna United FF Draw Gefle IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sollentuna United FF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDLWWL

Gefle IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Sollentuna United FF 1–5 Gefle IF (6 last)

Gefle IF1-2Sollentuna United FF
Gefle IF5-1Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF0-1Gefle IF
Sollentuna United FF0-1Gefle IF
Sollentuna United FF0-1Gefle IF
Gefle IF4-0Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sollentuna United FF 1453 · Gefle IF 1503

	Sollentuna United FF	Draw	Gefle IF
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gefle IF (rating 1453 vs 1503).
H2H favours Gefle IF: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sollentuna United FF	Gefle IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.30

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.41
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.34
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.65 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:53 +3’	2.38	3.30	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:52 +4’	2.41	3.34	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sollentuna United FF 1–0–5 Gefle IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF
30/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	5-1 HT 3-0	Sollentuna United FF
26/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Gefle IF
22/08/23 Sweden Cup Qualification	Sollentuna United FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Gefle IF
15/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Gefle IF
11/06/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	4-0 HT 3-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	19	12	3	4	41	17	39
2	Hammarby TFF	19	11	5	3	45	15	38
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	19	11	4	4	31	17	37
4	FC Arlanda	19	10	6	3	33	22	36
5	AFC Eskilstuna	19	10	4	5	33	26	34
6	FBK Karlstad	19	9	4	6	31	31	31
7	Assyriska Föreningen	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
8	Enkopings SK	19	9	2	8	27	31	29
9	Karlbergs BK	19	7	4	8	28	28	25
10	Gefle IF	19	7	3	9	25	37	24
11	Vasalunds IF	19	6	5	8	30	38	23
12	Umeå FC	19	5	5	9	24	32	20
13	Sollentuna United FF	19	4	8	7	18	27	20
14	FC Järfälla	19	4	3	12	23	41	15
15	Piteå IF	19	2	6	11	21	40	12
16	IFK Stocksund	20	2	5	13	39	49	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sollentuna United FF	Gefle IF
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 W	2-2 D
Assyriska Föreningen	0-3 L	2-1 W
IFK Stocksund	3-3 D	0-5 L
Umeå FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sollentuna United FF

DDDLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
07/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
30/05	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Gefle IF

WLLLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
23/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
08/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-5	9	3	L
01/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
27/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
18/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
13/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
06/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
01/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-2	0	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sollentuna United FF vs Gefle IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sollentuna United FF win (38%). Probabilities: Sollentuna United FF 38%, draw 27%, Gefle IF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sollentuna United FF vs Gefle IF?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Sollentuna United FF 1.43 · Gefle IF 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sollentuna United FF vs Gefle IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.