Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Umeå FC vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: Umeå FC · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Umeå FC1.29

Sollentuna United FF1.56

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Umeå FC Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Umeå FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWD

Sollentuna United FF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLWDW

Head-to-head

Umeå FC 2–1–3 Sollentuna United FF (6 last)

Sollentuna United FF1-1Umeå FC
Umeå FC3-1Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF1-4Umeå FC
Umeå FC1-3Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF5-2Umeå FC
Umeå FC2-3Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Umeå FC 1555 · Sollentuna United FF 1467

	Umeå FC	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umeå FC (rating 1555 vs 1467).
H2H favours Sollentuna United FF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Umeå FC	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:20 +3’	2.35	3.40	2.55
12:35 +26’	2.90▲	3.50▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Umeå FC 2–1–3 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	1-1 HT 0-0	Umeå FC
07/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Umeå FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Sollentuna United FF
31/03/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	1-4 HT 1-2	Umeå FC
05/11/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Umeå FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Sollentuna United FF
18/05/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	5-2 HT 4-1	Umeå FC
07/08/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Umeå FC	2-3 HT 1-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Umeå FC	Sollentuna United FF
Karlbergs BK	1-1 D	2-3 L
Hammarby TFF	2-1 W	0-1 L
FBK Karlstad	1-3 L	0-0 D
IFK Stocksund	3-0 W	3-0 W
Piteå IF	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-4 L	1-2 L
Vasalunds IF	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Umeå FC

WWLWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
18/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
11/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
04/10	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
27/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	5	1	L
20/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	6	1	W
16/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
13/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	4	L
06/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
30/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-2	4	4	W

Sollentuna United FF

LWLLDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
18/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
02/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	2-3	6	7	L
26/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
19/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Umeå FC vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sollentuna United FF win (43%). Probabilities: Umeå FC 31%, draw 26%, Sollentuna United FF 43%.

How many goals are expected in Umeå FC vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Umeå FC 1.29 · Sollentuna United FF 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Umeå FC vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.