Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: IF Karlstad Fotboll vs AFC Eskilstuna
Team pages: IF Karlstad Fotboll · AFC Eskilstuna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
IF Karlstad Fotboll1.78
AFC Eskilstuna1.26
1X2
IF Karlstad Fotboll
Draw
AFC Eskilstuna
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
IF Karlstad Fotboll
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
AFC Eskilstuna
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Karlstad Fotboll
2–1–2
AFC Eskilstuna
(5 last)
- AFC Eskilstuna0-2IF Karlstad Fotboll
- AFC Eskilstuna4-3IF Karlstad Fotboll
- IF Karlstad Fotboll1-2AFC Eskilstuna
- IF Karlstad Fotboll4-2AFC Eskilstuna
- AFC Eskilstuna0-0IF Karlstad Fotboll
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1511 · AFC Eskilstuna 1605
| IF Karlstad Fotboll | Draw | AFC Eskilstuna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1511 vs 1605).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Karlstad Fotboll | AFC Eskilstuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Karlstad Fotboll 2–1–2 AFC Eskilstuna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra | AFC Eskilstuna | 0-2 HT 0-1 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 31/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | AFC Eskilstuna | 4-3 HT 2-1 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 22/06/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 1-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Eskilstuna |
| 01/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 4-2 HT 3-0 | AFC Eskilstuna |
| 06/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | AFC Eskilstuna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Hammarby TFF | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 45 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 34 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| 7 | Assyriska Föreningen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 29 |
| 8 | Enkopings SK | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | Karlbergs BK | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 37 | 24 |
| 11 | Vasalunds IF | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 23 |
| 12 | Umeå FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 20 |
| 13 | Sollentuna United FF | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 20 |
| 14 | FC Järfälla | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | 15 |
| 15 | Piteå IF | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | 11 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Karlstad Fotboll | AFC Eskilstuna |
|---|---|---|
| Sollentuna United FF | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Assyriska Föreningen | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Karlstad Fotboll
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
AFC Eskilstuna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs AFC Eskilstuna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Karlstad Fotboll win (48%). Probabilities: IF Karlstad Fotboll 48%, draw 25%, AFC Eskilstuna 26%.
How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs AFC Eskilstuna?
The model expects 3.04 goals (IF Karlstad Fotboll 1.78 · AFC Eskilstuna 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs AFC Eskilstuna?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.