Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 04/07, 16:00

Prediction: Grindavik vs IF Vestri

Expected goals: 2.88 (Grindavik 1.42 · IF Vestri 1.46). The model gives 36% home, 27% draw, 38% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Grindavik is 1-6-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and IF Vestri 5-1-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Grindavik and 0 for IF Vestri, with 2 draws.

38%2
36% 27% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grindavik 1471 · IF Vestri 1517
GrindavikDrawIF Vestri
Our model35%27%37%
Market36%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Grindavik 1.42 · IF Vestri 1.46
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Vestri (rating 1471 vs 1517).
  • H2H favours Grindavik: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrindavikIF Vestri
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.42.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 420 IF Vestri

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Iceland 1 Deild
IF Vestri1-1
HT 0-1
Grindavik
15/02/25
Iceland League Cup
Grindavik4-3
HT 3-1
IF Vestri
24/02/24
Iceland League Cup
Grindavik1-0
HT 1-0
IF Vestri
02/08/23
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik1-1
HT 0-1
IF Vestri
27/05/23
Iceland 1 Deild
IF Vestri0-2
HT 0-1
Grindavik
12/03/23
Iceland League Cup
IF Vestri0-2
HT 0-1
Grindavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Throttur Reykjavik 11722 251223
2 Afturelding 11713 331822
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 11704 191521
4 IF Vestri 12624 222020
5 HK Kopavogur 11614 201819
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 11533 141218
7 Njardvik 11425 131114
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 10415 192413
9 IR Reykjavik 11326 232911
10 Grindavik 10163 9129
11 KF Aegir 12228 13288
12 Volsungur 11146 13247

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrindavikIF Vestri
KF Aegir 0-0 D 3-2 W
Throttur Reykjavik 0-2 L 1-1 D
Afturelding 1-3 L 2-0 W
Leiknir Reykjavik 0-0 D 0-1 L
Volsungur 3-1 W 5-1 W
IR Reykjavik 2-2 D 1-0 W
Njardvik 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IF Vestri (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grindavik

DDDWDLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 71 D
21/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-2 56 D
17/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 52 L
01/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 53 L
27/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-3 76 L
22/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
17/05 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-1 73 W
13/05 IA Akranes
Iceland Cup
0-1 1-1 71 D
08/05 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 2-2 96 D
01/05 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 61 D

IF Vestri

LWLLWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-1 14 D
21/06 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-0 W
17/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 3-2 43 W
13/06 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 36 L
06/06 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 5-1 63 W
31/05 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 41 W
27/05 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-3 0-3 60 L
23/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-5 54 L
17/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-1 82 W
14/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland Cup
0-4 0-4 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grindavik vs IF Vestri?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IF Vestri win (38%). Probabilities: Grindavik 36%, draw 27%, IF Vestri 38%.

How many goals are expected in Grindavik vs IF Vestri?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Grindavik 1.42 · IF Vestri 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grindavik vs IF Vestri?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.