Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 10/07, 21:15

Prediction: Njardvik vs Grindavik

Expected goals: 2.57 (Njardvik 1.57 · Grindavik 1). The model gives 50% home, 26% draw, 24% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Njardvik with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Grindavik has piled up 1-6-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Njardvik won 2 and Grindavik 1, with 3 draws.

50%1
50% 26% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Njardvik 1505 · Grindavik 1461
NjardvikDrawGrindavik
Our model49%28%23%
Market51%24%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.57Njardvik 1.57 · Grindavik 1
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Njardvik (rating 1505 vs 1461).
  • H2H favours Njardvik: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NjardvikGrindavik
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.40.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 7.22.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.23.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 231 Grindavik

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik0-0
HT 0-0
Njardvik
13/02/26
Iceland League Cup
Njardvik2-2
HT 2-1
Grindavik
13/09/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik3-0
HT 3-0
Grindavik
03/07/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik1-5
HT 0-4
Njardvik
14/09/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik2-2
HT 0-1
Njardvik
04/07/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik0-1
HT 0-0
Grindavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Afturelding 12813 341825
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 12804 231724
3 Throttur Reykjavik 12723 251323
4 IF Vestri 13634 222021
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 12543 171519
6 HK Kopavogur 12615 212019
7 Njardvik 12525 141117
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 11515 212516
9 IR Reykjavik 12327 233011
10 Grindavik 11173 91210
11 Volsungur 12156 16278
12 KF Aegir 13229 15328

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNjardvikGrindavik
Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 W 0-2 L
Afturelding 0-2 L 1-3 L
Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 W 0-0 D
Volsungur 1-2 L 3-1 W
IR Reykjavik 5-1 W 2-2 D
IF Vestri 3-0 W 0-0 D
KF Aegir 0-0 D 0-0 D
HK Kopavogur 0-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Njardvik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Njardvik

LLDWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 156 W
26/06 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 53 L
19/06 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 61 W
13/06 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-2 124 L
05/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 5-1 62 W
31/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
3-0 3-0 40 W
23/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 91 D
18/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 32 L
13/05 Afturelding
Iceland Cup
0-1 2-5 84 L

Grindavik

DDWDLLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 43 D
26/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 71 D
21/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-2 56 D
17/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 52 L
01/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 53 L
27/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-3 76 L
22/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
17/05 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-1 73 W
13/05 IA Akranes
Iceland Cup
0-1 1-1 71 D
08/05 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 2-2 96 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs Grindavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Njardvik win (50%). Probabilities: Njardvik 50%, draw 26%, Grindavik 24%.

How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs Grindavik?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Njardvik 1.57 · Grindavik 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Grindavik?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.