Prediction: IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
Expected goals: 3.5 (IR Reykjavik 1.28 · Throttur Reykjavik 2.22). The model gives 20% home, 22% draw, 58% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, IR Reykjavik is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Throttur Reykjavik 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for IR Reykjavik and 3 for Throttur Reykjavik.
| IR Reykjavik | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1434 vs 1527).
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IR Reykjavik | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7.6 | 2.8 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IR Reykjavik 3–0–3 Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 3-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 13/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 0-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 04/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 09/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 31/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 5-0 HT 2-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 11/02/24 Iceland League Cup | IR Reykjavik | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Throttur Reykjavik | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | HK Kopavogur | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IR Reykjavik | Throttur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Njardvik | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| IF Vestri | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| KF Aegir | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Grindavik | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 18/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (58%). Probabilities: IR Reykjavik 20%, draw 22%, Throttur Reykjavik 58%.
How many goals are expected in IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.5 goals (IR Reykjavik 1.28 · Throttur Reykjavik 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.