Prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Expected goals: 3.24 (Leiknir Reykjavik 1.77 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.48). The model gives 44% home, 24% draw, 32% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Leiknir Reykjavik sits at 4-3-3 (W-D-L), while Grotta Seltjarnarnes arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Leiknir Reykjavik and 2 for Grotta Seltjarnarnes, with 1 draw.
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Draw | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Leiknir Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 3–1–2 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 30/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 25/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 11/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 02/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 30/07/19 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Throttur Reykjavik | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | HK Kopavogur | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leiknir Reykjavik | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
|---|---|---|
| Volsungur | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| IR Reykjavik | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Njardvik | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| IF Vestri | 1-0 W | 5-3 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 0-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Afturelding | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Grotta Seltjarnarnes (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiknir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 9 | W |
| 19/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 27/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 5-3 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | IF Vestri Iceland Cup |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiknir Reykjavik win (44%). Probabilities: Leiknir Reykjavik 44%, draw 24%, Grotta Seltjarnarnes 32%.
How many goals are expected in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Leiknir Reykjavik 1.77 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.