Prediction: KF Aegir vs HK Kopavogur
Expected goals: 3.45 (KF Aegir 1.21 · HK Kopavogur 2.24). The model gives 19% home, 21% draw, 60% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, KF Aegir sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while HK Kopavogur arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KF Aegir won 0 and HK Kopavogur 2.
| KF Aegir | Draw | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 21% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Kopavogur (rating 1435 vs 1505).
- H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KF Aegir | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Aegir 0–0–2 HK Kopavogur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 2-1 HT 1-0 | KF Aegir |
| 07/03/26 Iceland League Cup | HK Kopavogur | 2-1 HT 2-1 | KF Aegir |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Throttur Reykjavik | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | HK Kopavogur | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KF Aegir | HK Kopavogur |
|---|---|---|
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Afturelding | 1-8 L | 2-1 W |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Volsungur | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Njardvik | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KF Aegir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
HK Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 26/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 27/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KF Aegir vs HK Kopavogur?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HK Kopavogur win (60%). Probabilities: KF Aegir 19%, draw 21%, HK Kopavogur 60%.
How many goals are expected in KF Aegir vs HK Kopavogur?
The model expects 3.45 goals (KF Aegir 1.21 · HK Kopavogur 2.24), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KF Aegir vs HK Kopavogur?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.