Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 13/07, 21:15
Prediction: IF Vestri vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
IF Vestri1.27
Fylkir Reykjavik1.86
1X2
IF Vestri
Draw
Fylkir Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IF Vestri
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Fylkir Reykjavik
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Vestri
0–1–5
Fylkir Reykjavik
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Vestri 1493 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1548
| IF Vestri | Draw | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fylkir Reykjavik (rating 1493 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Fylkir Reykjavik: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Vestri | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Vestri 0–1–5 Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 0-0 | IF Vestri |
| 26/10/24 Iceland Premier League | IF Vestri | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 01/09/24 Iceland Premier League | IF Vestri | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 18/06/24 Iceland Premier League | Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 1-1 | IF Vestri |
| 13/08/22 Iceland 1 Deild | IF Vestri | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 04/06/22 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 5-0 HT 1-0 | IF Vestri |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
| 5 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Njardvik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 12 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Vestri | Fylkir Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Afturelding | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| KF Aegir | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Volsungur | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 3-5 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Vestri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 5-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 16 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Vestri vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fylkir Reykjavik win (50%). Probabilities: IF Vestri 25%, draw 25%, Fylkir Reykjavik 50%.
How many goals are expected in IF Vestri vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.13 goals (IF Vestri 1.27 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1.86), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Vestri vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.