Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: Volsungur vs Afturelding

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Volsungur1.18
Afturelding2.87
1X2
12% 17% 71%
Volsungur Draw Afturelding
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Volsungur 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWDDD
Afturelding 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWLWWW
Head-to-head
Volsungur 3–2–1 Afturelding (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volsungur 1442 · Afturelding 1595
VolsungurDrawAfturelding
Our model12%16%72%
Market12%17%71%
Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1442 vs 1595).
  • H2H favours Volsungur: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VolsungurAfturelding
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.63 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.31.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 52.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 04 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Volsungur 321 Afturelding

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Afturelding0-0
HT 0-0
Volsungur
21/07/18
Iceland 2 Deild
Afturelding1-2
HT 1-1
Volsungur
05/05/18
Iceland 2 Deild
Volsungur1-1
HT 1-1
Afturelding
27/04/18
Iceland League Cup
Afturelding2-4
HT 1-2
Volsungur
15/07/17
Iceland 2 Deild
Afturelding3-1Volsungur
06/05/17
Iceland 2 Deild
Volsungur5-1
HT 3-1
Afturelding

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Afturelding 12813 341825
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 12804 231724
3 Throttur Reykjavik 12723 251323
4 IF Vestri 13634 222021
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 12543 171519
6 HK Kopavogur 12615 212019
7 Njardvik 12525 141117
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 11515 212516
9 IR Reykjavik 12327 233011
10 Grindavik 11173 91210
11 Volsungur 12156 16278
12 KF Aegir 13229 15328

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVolsungurAfturelding
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-2 D 3-1 W
IR Reykjavik 4-4 D 1-0 W
Njardvik 2-1 W 2-0 W
IF Vestri 1-5 L 0-2 L
KF Aegir 2-3 L 8-1 W
HK Kopavogur 0-1 L 1-2 L
Fylkir Reykjavik 0-1 L 5-1 W
Grindavik 1-3 L 3-1 W
Throttur Reykjavik 0-3 L 4-3 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 6 L 7 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Afturelding (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volsungur

LLLLLLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-3 67 D
27/06 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-2 35 D
21/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-3 4-4 44 D
13/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-1 64 W
06/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-5 43 L
31/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 2-3 113 L
27/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 33 L
23/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 13 L
17/05 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-3 103 L
09/05 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-3 0-3 27 L

Afturelding

WWWWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 42 W
29/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 8-1 131 W
26/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-0 43 W
21/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 L
10/06 Stjarnan
Iceland Cup
0-1 3-1 09 W
05/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-2 135 L
31/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
4-0 5-1 44 W
27/05 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 3-1 126 W
22/05 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
3-2 4-3 38 W
18/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 3-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volsungur vs Afturelding?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Afturelding win (71%). Probabilities: Volsungur 12%, draw 17%, Afturelding 71%.

How many goals are expected in Volsungur vs Afturelding?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Volsungur 1.18 · Afturelding 2.87), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Volsungur vs Afturelding?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.