Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 07/08, 21:15

Prediction: Afturelding vs Grindavik

Team pages: Afturelding · Grindavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Afturelding2.35

Grindavik1.1

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Afturelding Draw Grindavik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Afturelding 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWDL

Grindavik 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Afturelding 3–1–2 Grindavik (6 last)

Grindavik1-3Afturelding
Grindavik0-3Afturelding
Afturelding1-1Grindavik
Afturelding1-2Grindavik
Grindavik0-3Afturelding
Afturelding0-1Grindavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Afturelding 1559 · Grindavik 1464

	Afturelding	Draw	Grindavik
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1559 vs 1464).
H2H favours Afturelding: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Afturelding	Grindavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.7	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 6.14 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +14’	1.40	4.50	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:28	1.34	6.14	5.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Afturelding 3–1–2 Grindavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	1-3 HT 0-2	Afturelding
30/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	0-3 HT 0-0	Afturelding
25/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Afturelding	1-1 HT 0-0	Grindavik
10/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Afturelding	1-2 HT 0-1	Grindavik
01/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	0-3 HT 0-2	Afturelding
06/04/23 Iceland Cup	Afturelding	0-1 HT 0-1	Grindavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Throttur Reykjavik	16	10	3	3	36	16	33
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	16	11	0	5	35	23	33
3	Afturelding	15	10	1	4	44	25	31
4	HK Kopavogur	16	9	1	6	38	29	28
5	Njardvik	16	8	2	6	24	21	26
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	15	8	1	6	32	28	25
7	IF Vestri	16	6	3	7	26	34	21
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	16	5	4	7	20	25	19
9	Grindavik	16	3	8	5	16	20	17
10	IR Reykjavik	16	4	4	8	27	36	16
11	Volsungur	16	2	5	9	20	37	11
12	KF Aegir	16	2	2	12	19	43	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Afturelding	Grindavik
Throttur Reykjavik	1-4 L	0-2 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-1 D	0-1 L
Leiknir Reykjavik	3-2 W	1-0 W
Volsungur	6-1 W	0-2 L
IR Reykjavik	1-0 W	0-0 D
KF Aegir	8-1 W	0-0 D
Njardvik	2-0 W	4-5 L
IF Vestri	0-2 L	0-0 D
HK Kopavogur	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Afturelding (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Afturelding

LWLWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
21/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup	0-0	1-1	11	10	D
16/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	3-2	5	3	W
11/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	6-1	4	9	W
03/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	8-1	13	1	W
26/06	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
21/06	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/06	Stjarnan Iceland Cup	0-1	3-1	0	9	W
05/06	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-2	13	5	L

Grindavik

LLDDDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
24/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
14/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
10/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	4-5	1	4	L
04/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
21/06	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
17/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Afturelding vs Grindavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Afturelding win (64%). Probabilities: Afturelding 64%, draw 20%, Grindavik 16%.

How many goals are expected in Afturelding vs Grindavik?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Afturelding 2.35 · Grindavik 1.1), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Afturelding vs Grindavik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.