Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
Team pages: IR Reykjavik · Njardvik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
IR Reykjavik1.44
Njardvik2.04
1X2
IR Reykjavik
Draw
Njardvik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IR Reykjavik
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Njardvik
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IR Reykjavik
0–3–3
Njardvik
(6 last)
- Njardvik5-1IR Reykjavik
- Njardvik3-1IR Reykjavik
- IR Reykjavik2-2Njardvik
- Njardvik1-1IR Reykjavik
- IR Reykjavik1-1Njardvik
- Njardvik3-0IR Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IR Reykjavik 1464 · Njardvik 1567
| IR Reykjavik | Draw | Njardvik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Njardvik (rating 1464 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Njardvik: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IR Reykjavik | Njardvik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.9 | 3.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IR Reykjavik 0–3–3 Njardvik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 5-1 HT 2-1 | IR Reykjavik |
| 01/02/26 Iceland League Cup | Njardvik | 3-1 HT 1-1 | IR Reykjavik |
| 25/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Njardvik |
| 16/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 18/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Njardvik |
| 13/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 3-0 HT 2-0 | IR Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 29 | 35 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 34 |
| 4 | Njardvik | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 32 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 31 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 26 |
| 7 | IF Vestri | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 22 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 19 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 17 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 48 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IR Reykjavik | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| IF Vestri | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| KF Aegir | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 5-4 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Afturelding | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Volsungur | 4-4 D | 1-2 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 4 L | 7 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Njardvik (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
Njardvik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
3-3 | 5-4 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Njardvik win (50%). Probabilities: IR Reykjavik 26%, draw 24%, Njardvik 50%.
How many goals are expected in IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik?
The model expects 3.48 goals (IR Reykjavik 1.44 · Njardvik 2.04), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.