Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir

Team pages: Leiknir Reykjavik · KF Aegir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Leiknir Reykjavik2.38
KF Aegir1.31
1X2
60% 21% 19%
Leiknir Reykjavik Draw KF Aegir
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leiknir Reykjavik 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLWDLLLLWL
KF Aegir 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Leiknir Reykjavik 3–0 KF Aegir (3 last)
  • KF Aegir0-3Leiknir Reykjavik
  • KF Aegir0-5Leiknir Reykjavik
  • Leiknir Reykjavik3-2KF Aegir
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leiknir Reykjavik 1476 · KF Aegir 1371
Leiknir ReykjavikDrawKF Aegir
Our model60%20%19%
Market60%21%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiknir Reykjavik (rating 1476 vs 1371).
  • H2H favours Leiknir Reykjavik: 3-0-0.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leiknir ReykjavikKF Aegir
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71.2 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.7 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.61.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.32.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 300 KF Aegir

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/06/26
Iceland 1 Deild
KF Aegir0-3
HT 0-0
Leiknir Reykjavik
16/09/23
Iceland 1 Deild
KF Aegir0-5
HT 0-2
Leiknir Reykjavik
12/07/23
Iceland 1 Deild
Leiknir Reykjavik3-2
HT 1-2
KF Aegir

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Afturelding 171124 512935
2 Throttur Reykjavik 181044 381934
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 181116 382934
4 Njardvik 181026 312332
5 HK Kopavogur 181017 423331
6 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 17827 343326
7 IF Vestri 18738 283724
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 18648 242722
9 Grindavik 18486 192520
10 IR Reykjavik 18549 303919
11 Volsungur 18459 253917
12 KF Aegir 182214 21488

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeiknir ReykjavikKF Aegir
HK Kopavogur 1-2 L 3-4 L
Fylkir Reykjavik 3-0 W 2-4 L
Grindavik 0-1 L 0-0 D
Throttur Reykjavik 1-5 L 1-3 L
Afturelding 2-3 L 1-8 L
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 0-1 L 1-6 L
Volsungur 3-3 D 0-2 L
IR Reykjavik 2-1 W 2-3 L
Njardvik 0-1 L 0-1 L
IF Vestri 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 6 L 0 W 1 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: Leiknir Reykjavik (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leiknir Reykjavik

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-2 56 L
07/08 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 3-0 41 W
29/07 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 52 L
23/07 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-5 75 L
16/07 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-3 43 L
10/07 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 112 L
04/07 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-3 27 D
26/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-1 169 W
19/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 81 L
13/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 46 W

KF Aegir

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 33 L
06/08 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-3 24 L
28/07 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 26 L
18/07 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-4 1-6 110 L
10/07 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
3-4 3-4 23 L
03/07 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-4 2-4 72 L
29/06 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 1-8 11 L
26/06 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 71 D
21/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-3 57 L
17/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-3 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leiknir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiknir Reykjavik win (60%). Probabilities: Leiknir Reykjavik 60%, draw 21%, KF Aegir 19%.

How many goals are expected in Leiknir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Leiknir Reykjavik 2.38 · KF Aegir 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leiknir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.