Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 17/08, 21:15
Prediction: Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur
Team pages: Afturelding · HK Kopavogur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.25Total
Afturelding2.52
HK Kopavogur1.73
1X2
Afturelding
Draw
HK Kopavogur
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Afturelding
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
HK Kopavogur
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Afturelding
0–6
HK Kopavogur
(6 last)
- HK Kopavogur2-1Afturelding
- Afturelding1-2HK Kopavogur
- Afturelding0-1HK Kopavogur
- HK Kopavogur2-0Afturelding
- HK Kopavogur2-0Afturelding
- HK Kopavogur6-2Afturelding
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Afturelding 1552 · HK Kopavogur 1524
| Afturelding | Draw | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Afturelding | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 2.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Afturelding 0–0–6 HK Kopavogur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Afturelding |
| 09/03/25 Iceland League Cup | Afturelding | 1-2 HT 0-2 | HK Kopavogur |
| 05/08/22 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur |
| 27/05/22 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Afturelding |
| 20/02/21 Iceland League Cup | HK Kopavogur | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Afturelding |
| 30/07/20 Iceland Cup | HK Kopavogur | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Afturelding |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 29 | 35 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 34 |
| 4 | Njardvik | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 32 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 31 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 26 |
| 7 | IF Vestri | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 22 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 19 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 17 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 48 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Afturelding | HK Kopavogur |
|---|---|---|
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Grindavik | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Volsungur | 6-1 W | 2-3 L |
| IR Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| KF Aegir | 8-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Njardvik | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| IF Vestri | 0-2 L | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Afturelding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 10 | D |
| 16/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 8-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
HK Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 6-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
4-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 26/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Afturelding win (54%). Probabilities: Afturelding 54%, draw 21%, HK Kopavogur 25%.
How many goals are expected in Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur?
The model expects 4.25 goals (Afturelding 2.52 · HK Kopavogur 1.73), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.