Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: Volsungur vs IF Vestri

Team pages: Volsungur · IF Vestri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Volsungur1.94

IF Vestri1.92

1X2

38% 24% 37%

Volsungur Draw IF Vestri

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Volsungur 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLWLWW

IF Vestri 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLDLLW

Head-to-head

Volsungur 3–3 IF Vestri (6 last)

IF Vestri5-1Volsungur
IF Vestri1-0Volsungur
Volsungur3-1IF Vestri
IF Vestri2-0Volsungur
Volsungur2-1IF Vestri
Volsungur2-0IF Vestri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volsungur 1499 · IF Vestri 1438

	Volsungur	Draw	IF Vestri
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	38%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Volsungur (rating 1499 vs 1438).
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Volsungur	IF Vestri
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.2	0.8 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.2 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	1.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.04 ★
2	2.45 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:35 +19’	2.40	3.50	2.45
16:02 +4’	2.35▼	3.50	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:35	2.50	3.85	2.39
08:23	2.30▼	4.00▲	2.55▲
10:03	2.35▲	4.04▲	2.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Volsungur 3–0–3 IF Vestri

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	IF Vestri	5-1 HT 1-1	Volsungur
20/07/19 Iceland 2 Deild	IF Vestri	1-0	Volsungur
11/05/19 Iceland 2 Deild	Volsungur	3-1 HT 1-1	IF Vestri
01/08/18 Iceland 2 Deild	IF Vestri	2-0	Volsungur
19/05/18 Iceland 2 Deild	Volsungur	2-1 HT 1-0	IF Vestri
03/08/17 Iceland 2 Deild	Volsungur	2-0	IF Vestri

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	17	11	2	4	51	29	35
2	Throttur Reykjavik	18	10	4	4	38	19	34
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	18	11	1	6	38	29	34
4	Njardvik	18	10	2	6	31	23	32
5	HK Kopavogur	18	10	1	7	42	33	31
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	17	8	2	7	34	33	26
7	IF Vestri	18	7	3	8	28	37	24
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	18	6	4	8	24	27	22
9	Grindavik	18	4	8	6	19	25	20
10	IR Reykjavik	18	5	4	9	30	39	19
11	Volsungur	18	4	5	9	25	39	17
12	KF Aegir	18	2	2	14	21	48	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Volsungur	IF Vestri
HK Kopavogur	3-2 W	2-6 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-3 L	2-5 L
Grindavik	2-0 W	0-0 D
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-2 D	0-3 L
IR Reykjavik	4-4 D	1-0 W
Njardvik	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Volsungur (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Volsungur

WDDDLLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
29/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-3	1	5	L
24/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	13	2	W
18/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-6	7	9	L
04/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
27/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
21/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-3	4-4	4	4	D
13/06	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-1	6	4	W

IF Vestri

DLLLLLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
08/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
03/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	0-3	12	4	L
30/07	RFS UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
23/07	RFS UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-3	1-4	1	1	L
20/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	2-6	2	1	L
16/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
13/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-5	2-5	7	4	L
09/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	0	1	L
04/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volsungur vs IF Vestri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Volsungur win (38%). Probabilities: Volsungur 38%, draw 24%, IF Vestri 37%.

How many goals are expected in Volsungur vs IF Vestri?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Volsungur 1.94 · IF Vestri 1.92), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Volsungur vs IF Vestri?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.