Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: Grindavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Team pages: Grindavik · Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Grindavik1.52

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.63

1X2

35% 26% 40%

Grindavik Draw Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Grindavik 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWDLWLW

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWDL

Head-to-head

Grindavik 2–2–2 Grotta Seltjarnarnes (6 last)

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-2Grindavik
Grotta Seltjarnarnes3-1Grindavik
Grindavik2-2Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-2Grindavik
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-0Grindavik
Grindavik0-0Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grindavik 1501 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1495

	Grindavik	Draw	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grindavik	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.59
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.74 ★
2	2.38 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.35

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:30 +5’	2.38	3.60	2.38
08:14 +9’	2.55▲	3.50▼	2.25▼
15:50 +16’	2.50▼	3.60▲	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:35	2.51	3.71	2.44
08:23	2.58▲	3.78▲	2.35▼
10:03	2.59▲	3.74▼	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 2–2–2 Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/07/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 HT 1-1	Grindavik
25/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	3-1 HT 1-0	Grindavik
20/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	2-2 HT 1-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
09/02/24 Iceland League Cup	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 HT 1-1	Grindavik
16/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-0 HT 1-0	Grindavik
12/05/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	0-0 HT 0-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	17	11	2	4	51	29	35
2	Throttur Reykjavik	18	10	4	4	38	19	34
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	18	11	1	6	38	29	34
4	Njardvik	18	10	2	6	31	23	32
5	HK Kopavogur	18	10	1	7	42	33	31
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	17	8	2	7	34	33	26
7	IF Vestri	18	7	3	8	28	37	24
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	18	6	4	8	24	27	22
9	Grindavik	18	4	8	6	19	25	20
10	IR Reykjavik	18	5	4	9	30	39	19
11	Volsungur	18	4	5	9	25	39	17
12	KF Aegir	18	2	2	14	21	48	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grindavik	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Throttur Reykjavik	2-1 W	1-1 D
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0 W	1-0 W
Volsungur	0-2 L	2-2 D
IR Reykjavik	0-0 D	1-2 L
Njardvik	4-5 L	1-4 L
IF Vestri	0-0 D	3-0 W
KF Aegir	0-0 D	6-1 W
HK Kopavogur	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grotta Seltjarnarnes (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grindavik

DDDLWDLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
07/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
29/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
24/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
14/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
10/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	4-5	1	4	L
04/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
21/06	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	2-2	5	6	D

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

LLDWWLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
08/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
03/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
18/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-1	7	0	W
14/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
10/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	2-1	6	10	W
27/06	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-2	10	5	D
21/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	2-5	4	0	L
17/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grindavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grotta Seltjarnarnes win (40%). Probabilities: Grindavik 35%, draw 26%, Grotta Seltjarnarnes 40%.

How many goals are expected in Grindavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Grindavik 1.52 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grindavik vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.