Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 07/08, 21:15
Prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Team pages: Leiknir Reykjavik · Fylkir Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Leiknir Reykjavik1.06
Fylkir Reykjavik2.1
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw
Fylkir Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leiknir Reykjavik
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Fylkir Reykjavik
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leiknir Reykjavik
3–1–2
Fylkir Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Fylkir Reykjavik3-0Leiknir Reykjavik
- Leiknir Reykjavik0-3Fylkir Reykjavik
- Leiknir Reykjavik1-0Fylkir Reykjavik
- Fylkir Reykjavik1-2Leiknir Reykjavik
- Leiknir Reykjavik5-2Fylkir Reykjavik
- Fylkir Reykjavik0-0Leiknir Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leiknir Reykjavik 1462 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1564
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Draw | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fylkir Reykjavik (rating 1462 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Leiknir Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 2.9 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 3–1–2 Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 14/02/26 Iceland League Cup | Leiknir Reykjavik | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 13/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 04/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 29/01/24 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Leiknir Reykjavik | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 03/08/21 Iceland Premier League | Fylkir Reykjavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Afturelding | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 25 | 31 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 25 |
| 7 | IF Vestri | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 21 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 37 | 11 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leiknir Reykjavik | Fylkir Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Afturelding | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 0-1 L | 5-2 W |
| Volsungur | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Njardvik | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| IF Vestri | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| KF Aegir | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiknir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 9 | W |
| 19/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
Fylkir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Afturelding Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 17/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 13/07 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
5-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 5-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 16 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fylkir Reykjavik win (60%). Probabilities: Leiknir Reykjavik 18%, draw 22%, Fylkir Reykjavik 60%.
How many goals are expected in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Leiknir Reykjavik 1.06 · Fylkir Reykjavik 2.1), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.