Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Njardvik vs IF Vestri

Team pages: Njardvik · IF Vestri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Njardvik2.28

IF Vestri1.29

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Njardvik Draw IF Vestri

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Njardvik 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWLWW

IF Vestri 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Njardvik 5–1 IF Vestri (6 last)

IF Vestri0-3Njardvik
Njardvik2-0IF Vestri
IF Vestri2-0Njardvik
Njardvik2-1IF Vestri
Njardvik3-1IF Vestri
IF Vestri2-4Njardvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Njardvik 1535 · IF Vestri 1409

	Njardvik	Draw	IF Vestri
Our model	59%	21%	20%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Njardvik (rating 1535 vs 1409).
H2H favours Njardvik: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Njardvik	IF Vestri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	0.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.2 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7	1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.55
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +2’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:17 +2’	1.53	4.54	4.91
10:44 +1’	1.55▲	4.41▼	4.85▼
12:29	1.55▼	4.43▲	4.86▲
20:29 +12’	1.50▼	4.55▲	5.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 5–0–1 IF Vestri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	IF Vestri	0-3 HT 0-3	Njardvik
12/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	2-0 HT 1-0	IF Vestri
03/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild	IF Vestri	2-0 HT 2-0	Njardvik
25/01/19 Iceland Pre-Season Cup	Njardvik	2-1 HT 1-0	IF Vestri
02/09/17 Iceland 2 Deild	Njardvik	3-1	IF Vestri
24/06/17 Iceland 2 Deild	IF Vestri	2-4	Njardvik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Throttur Reykjavik	16	10	3	3	36	16	33
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	16	11	0	5	35	23	33
3	Afturelding	15	10	1	4	44	25	31
4	HK Kopavogur	16	9	1	6	38	29	28
5	Njardvik	16	8	2	6	24	21	26
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	15	8	1	6	32	28	25
7	IF Vestri	16	6	3	7	26	34	21
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	16	5	4	7	20	25	19
9	IR Reykjavik	17	5	4	8	30	38	19
10	Grindavik	16	3	8	5	16	20	17
11	Volsungur	16	2	5	9	20	37	11
12	KF Aegir	17	2	2	13	21	46	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Njardvik	IF Vestri
HK Kopavogur	3-2 W	2-6 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-4 L	2-5 L
Grindavik	5-4 W	0-0 D
Throttur Reykjavik	1-0 W	1-1 D
Afturelding	0-2 L	2-0 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Njardvik (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Njardvik

LWLWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
17/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	2	4	L
10/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	5-4	6	4	W
03/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	15	6	W
26/06	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
19/06	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
13/06	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-2	12	4	L
05/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	5-1	6	2	W
31/05	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-2	4	2	L

IF Vestri

WDDLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	0-3	12	4	L
30/07	RFS UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
23/07	RFS UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-3	1-4	1	1	L
20/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	2-6	2	1	L
16/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
13/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-5	2-5	7	4	L
09/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	0	1	L
04/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
27/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
21/06	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs IF Vestri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Njardvik win (59%). Probabilities: Njardvik 59%, draw 21%, IF Vestri 20%.

How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs IF Vestri?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Njardvik 2.28 · IF Vestri 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Njardvik vs IF Vestri?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.