Prediction: KF Aegir vs Afturelding
Team pages: KF Aegir · Afturelding
- Afturelding8-1KF Aegir
- Afturelding5-0KF Aegir
- KF Aegir1-4Afturelding
- KF Aegir0-4Afturelding
| KF Aegir | Draw | Afturelding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 10% | 16% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1380 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Afturelding: 4-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KF Aegir | Afturelding | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3.7 | 3.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.5 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Aegir 0–0–4 Afturelding
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 8-1 HT 2-1 | KF Aegir |
| 09/09/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 5-0 HT 1-0 | KF Aegir |
| 07/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild | KF Aegir | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Afturelding |
| 13/05/14 Iceland Cup | KF Aegir | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Afturelding |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Afturelding | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 36 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 34 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 32 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 25 |
| 8 | IF Vestri | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 39 | 24 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 22 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 21 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 39 | 20 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 54 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KF Aegir | Afturelding |
|---|---|---|
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-6 L | 3-2 W |
| Volsungur | 0-2 L | 6-1 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Njardvik | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Afturelding (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KF Aegir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-6 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Afturelding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/08 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 10 | D |
| 16/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 8-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KF Aegir vs Afturelding?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Afturelding win (74%). Probabilities: KF Aegir 10%, draw 15%, Afturelding 74%.
How many goals are expected in KF Aegir vs Afturelding?
The model expects 4.39 goals (KF Aegir 1.22 · Afturelding 3.16), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in KF Aegir vs Afturelding?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.