Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: HK Kopavogur vs Throttur Reykjavik

Team pages: HK Kopavogur · Throttur Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

HK Kopavogur1.88

Throttur Reykjavik2.19

1X2

33% 23% 44%

HK Kopavogur Draw Throttur Reykjavik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogur 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLLWD

Throttur Reykjavik 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWWDLW

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur 4–1–1 Throttur Reykjavik (6 last)

Throttur Reykjavik2-0HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik2-3HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur4-3Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur5-2Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik2-2HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik1-2HK Kopavogur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur 1542 · Throttur Reykjavik 1536

	HK Kopavogur	Draw	Throttur Reykjavik
Our model	33%	22%	45%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HK Kopavogur	Throttur Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.9	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.80

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.85
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Pinn 3.86
2	2.25 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.13 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +1’	2.50	3.70	2.25
05:04 +3’	2.80▲	3.80▲	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:51	2.91	3.88	2.10
19:19 +1’	2.86▼	3.83▼	2.14▲
02:16	2.85▼	3.86▲	2.13▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur 4–1–1 Throttur Reykjavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	2-0 HT 1-0	HK Kopavogur
21/09/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	2-3 HT 1-1	HK Kopavogur
17/09/25 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	4-3 HT 0-0	Throttur Reykjavik
06/09/25 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	5-2 HT 1-0	Throttur Reykjavik
27/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Throttur Reykjavik	2-2 HT 1-2	HK Kopavogur
24/04/24 Iceland Cup	Throttur Reykjavik	1-2 HT 0-1	HK Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Throttur Reykjavik	19	11	4	4	41	20	37
2	Afturelding	18	11	3	4	53	31	36
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	19	11	1	7	39	32	34
4	HK Kopavogur	19	10	2	7	44	35	32
5	Njardvik	19	10	2	7	32	26	32
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	18	8	3	7	34	33	27
7	Leiknir Reykjavik	19	7	4	8	30	28	25
8	IF Vestri	19	7	3	9	28	39	24
9	IR Reykjavik	19	6	4	9	33	40	22
10	Grindavik	19	4	9	6	19	25	21
11	Volsungur	19	5	5	9	27	39	20
12	KF Aegir	19	2	2	15	22	54	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogur	Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding	2-2 D	4-1 W
Leiknir Reykjavik	2-1 W	5-1 W
Volsungur	2-3 L	1-0 W
Njardvik	2-3 L	0-1 L
IF Vestri	6-2 W	1-1 D
IR Reykjavik	5-1 W	1-1 D
KF Aegir	4-3 W	3-1 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 L	1-1 D
Fylkir Reykjavik	2-0 W	3-1 W
Grindavik	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogur

DWLWWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
09/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
24/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
20/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-2	9	1	W
14/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
10/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-3	4-3	5	3	W
03/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
26/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
21/06	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	2-2	9	6	D

Throttur Reykjavik

WDLDWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-1	1	7	W
13/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	3-0	4-1	4	4	W
23/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	5-1	8	5	W
18/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
10/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
03/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
27/06	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
21/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	3-1	8	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (44%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur 33%, draw 23%, Throttur Reykjavik 44%.

How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model expects 4.07 goals (HK Kopavogur 1.88 · Throttur Reykjavik 2.19), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.