Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: IF Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik

Team pages: IF Vestri · Leiknir Reykjavik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
IF Vestri1.67
Leiknir Reykjavik1.41
1X2
43% 25% 32%
IF Vestri Draw Leiknir Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IF Vestri 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLLWL
Leiknir Reykjavik 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLLWLW
Head-to-head
IF Vestri 4–1–1 Leiknir Reykjavik (6 last)
  • Leiknir Reykjavik1-0IF Vestri
  • IF Vestri1-0Leiknir Reykjavik
  • Leiknir Reykjavik1-2IF Vestri
  • IF Vestri1-0Leiknir Reykjavik
  • Leiknir Reykjavik2-2IF Vestri
  • IF Vestri1-0Leiknir Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Vestri 1414 · Leiknir Reykjavik 1468
IF VestriDrawLeiknir Reykjavik
Our model43%26%31%
Market43%25%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiknir Reykjavik (rating 1414 vs 1468).
  • H2H favours IF Vestri: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

IF VestriLeiknir Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 31.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 20.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/40/60%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.43.4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.1 / 03.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Vestri 411 Leiknir Reykjavik

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Leiknir Reykjavik1-0
HT 0-0
IF Vestri
11/04/26
Iceland Cup
IF Vestri1-0
HT 0-0
Leiknir Reykjavik
20/08/23
Iceland 1 Deild
Leiknir Reykjavik1-2
HT 0-0
IF Vestri
28/06/23
Iceland 1 Deild
IF Vestri1-0
HT 0-0
Leiknir Reykjavik
18/02/22
Iceland League Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik2-2
HT 0-1
IF Vestri
19/08/20
Iceland 1 Deild
IF Vestri1-0
HT 0-0
Leiknir Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Throttur Reykjavik 191144 412037
2 Afturelding 181134 533136
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 191117 393234
4 HK Kopavogur 191027 443532
5 Njardvik 191027 322632
6 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 18837 343327
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 19748 302825
8 IF Vestri 19739 283924
9 IR Reykjavik 19649 334022
10 Grindavik 19496 192521
11 Volsungur 19559 273920
12 KF Aegir 192215 22548

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIF VestriLeiknir Reykjavik
Volsungur 0-2 L 3-3 D
IR Reykjavik 1-0 W 2-1 W
Njardvik 1-3 L 0-1 L
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 0-3 L 0-1 L
HK Kopavogur 2-6 L 1-2 L
Fylkir Reykjavik 2-5 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Leiknir Reykjavik (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Vestri

LLLLLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 73 L
13/08 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 43 W
08/08 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-3 61 L
03/08 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 0-3 124 L
30/07 RFS
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 1-1 43 D
23/07 RFS
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-3 1-4 11 L
20/07 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-4 2-6 21 L
16/07 FK Qarabag
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-2 0-3 10 L
13/07 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-5 2-5 74 L
09/07 FK Qarabag
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-2 0-3 01 L

Leiknir Reykjavik

LWDLLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
4-1 6-1 32 W
13/08 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-2 56 L
07/08 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 3-0 41 W
29/07 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 52 L
23/07 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-5 75 L
16/07 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-3 43 L
10/07 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 112 L
04/07 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-3 27 D
26/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 2-1 169 W
19/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 81 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Vestri win (43%). Probabilities: IF Vestri 43%, draw 25%, Leiknir Reykjavik 32%.

How many goals are expected in IF Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.08 goals (IF Vestri 1.67 · Leiknir Reykjavik 1.41), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.