Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Volsungur

Team pages: Grotta Seltjarnarnes · Volsungur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.91

Volsungur1.63

1X2

44% 24% 33%

Grotta Seltjarnarnes Draw Volsungur

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLDLLL

Volsungur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2–2–0 Volsungur (4 last)

Volsungur2-2Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Volsungur2-3Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-1Volsungur
Volsungur2-2Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1477 · Volsungur 1511

	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Draw	Volsungur
Our model	44%	24%	33%
Market	44%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Volsungur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +2’	2.05	3.75	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2–2–0 Volsungur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Volsungur	2-2 HT 1-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
25/08/18 Iceland 2 Deild	Volsungur	2-3	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
09/06/18 Iceland 2 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-1 HT 1-0	Volsungur
08/04/18 Iceland League Cup	Volsungur	2-2 HT 0-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	21	14	3	4	64	31	45
2	Throttur Reykjavik	21	12	4	5	48	25	40
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	21	13	1	7	48	34	40
4	HK Kopavogur	21	11	2	8	50	39	35
5	Njardvik	21	11	2	8	36	28	35
6	Leiknir Reykjavik	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
7	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	21	8	3	10	36	41	27
8	IF Vestri	21	8	3	10	30	41	27
9	IR Reykjavik	21	7	4	10	37	44	25
10	Grindavik	21	5	9	7	24	34	24
11	Volsungur	21	6	5	10	30	44	23
12	KF Aegir	21	2	2	17	24	68	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Volsungur
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-3 L	1-3 L
Afturelding	0-2 L	1-6 L
IR Reykjavik	1-3 L	3-1 W
Grindavik	0-0 D	2-0 W
Njardvik	1-4 L	0-4 L
Throttur Reykjavik	1-1 D	0-1 L
IF Vestri	3-0 W	2-0 W
KF Aegir	6-1 W	2-0 W
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grotta Seltjarnarnes (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

WLWWDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
25/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
21/08	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
17/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
08/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
03/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
18/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-1	7	0	W
14/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
10/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Volsungur

DLLWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
22/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
17/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
29/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-3	1	5	L
24/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	13	2	W
18/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-6	7	9	L
04/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	6	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Volsungur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grotta Seltjarnarnes win (44%). Probabilities: Grotta Seltjarnarnes 44%, draw 24%, Volsungur 33%.

How many goals are expected in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Volsungur?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.91 · Volsungur 1.63), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Volsungur?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.