Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Team pages: HK Kopavogur · Fylkir Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.33Total

HK Kopavogur2

Fylkir Reykjavik2.33

1X2

33% 22% 45%

HK Kopavogur Draw Fylkir Reykjavik

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWDWL

Fylkir Reykjavik 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLDLWW

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur 2–1–3 Fylkir Reykjavik (6 last)

Fylkir Reykjavik0-2HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur0-2Fylkir Reykjavik
Fylkir Reykjavik1-2HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur2-2Fylkir Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur0-2Fylkir Reykjavik
Fylkir Reykjavik3-1HK Kopavogur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur 1530 · Fylkir Reykjavik 1526

	HK Kopavogur	Draw	Fylkir Reykjavik
Our model	33%	21%	46%
Market	32%	23%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fylkir Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HK Kopavogur	Fylkir Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 2.1	2.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.7	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.90

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
18:50 +3’	2.75	3.90	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur 2–1–3 Fylkir Reykjavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Fylkir Reykjavik	0-2 HT 0-1	HK Kopavogur
29/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	0-2 HT 0-0	Fylkir Reykjavik
20/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Fylkir Reykjavik	1-2 HT 1-1	HK Kopavogur
06/10/24 Iceland Premier League	HK Kopavogur	2-2 HT 1-0	Fylkir Reykjavik
18/08/24 Iceland Premier League	HK Kopavogur	0-2 HT 0-0	Fylkir Reykjavik
27/05/24 Iceland Premier League	Fylkir Reykjavik	3-1 HT 2-0	HK Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	21	14	3	4	64	31	45
2	Throttur Reykjavik	21	12	4	5	48	25	40
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	21	13	1	7	48	34	40
4	HK Kopavogur	21	11	2	8	50	39	35
5	Njardvik	21	11	2	8	36	28	35
6	Leiknir Reykjavik	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
7	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	21	8	3	10	36	41	27
8	IF Vestri	21	8	3	10	30	41	27
9	IR Reykjavik	21	7	4	10	37	44	25
10	Grindavik	21	5	9	7	24	34	24
11	Volsungur	21	6	5	10	30	44	23
12	KF Aegir	21	2	2	17	24	68	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogur	Fylkir Reykjavik
Grindavik	3-4 L	6-1 W
Throttur Reykjavik	3-0 W	1-3 L
Afturelding	2-2 D	3-3 D
Leiknir Reykjavik	2-1 W	0-3 L
Volsungur	2-3 L	3-1 W
Njardvik	2-3 L	4-1 W
IF Vestri	6-2 W	5-2 W
IR Reykjavik	5-1 W	0-2 L
KF Aegir	4-3 W	4-2 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogur

LWWWLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-3	3-4	9	6	L
22/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
09/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
24/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
20/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-2	9	1	W
14/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
10/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-3	4-3	5	3	W
03/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	1-2	4	10	L

Fylkir Reykjavik

WWWLWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
22/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-1	12	4	W
17/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	1-3	6	7	L
13/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	4	4	D
07/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
29/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	3-1	2	5	W
25/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
17/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	4-1	9	4	W
13/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	5-0	5-2	2	4	W
03/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	4-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fylkir Reykjavik win (45%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur 33%, draw 22%, Fylkir Reykjavik 45%.

How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir Reykjavik?

The model expects 4.33 goals (HK Kopavogur 2 · Fylkir Reykjavik 2.33), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir Reykjavik?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.