Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Njardvik vs Afturelding

Team pages: Njardvik · Afturelding

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Njardvik1.61

Afturelding2.28

1X2

26% 23% 51%

Njardvik Draw Afturelding

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Njardvik 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLWL

Afturelding 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Njardvik 0–6 Afturelding (6 last)

Afturelding2-0Njardvik
Afturelding5-2Njardvik
Afturelding4-1Njardvik
Njardvik2-5Afturelding
Njardvik1-2Afturelding
Afturelding7-2Njardvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Njardvik 1524 · Afturelding 1600

	Njardvik	Draw	Afturelding
Our model	26%	22%	52%
Market	26%	23%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1524 vs 1600).
H2H favours Afturelding: 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Njardvik	Afturelding
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	3.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.2	3.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.80

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
18:34 +19’	3.50	3.80	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 0–0–6 Afturelding

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Afturelding	2-0 HT 0-0	Njardvik
13/05/26 Iceland Cup	Afturelding	5-2 HT 1-0	Njardvik
30/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Afturelding	4-1 HT 4-0	Njardvik
30/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	2-5 HT 1-2	Afturelding
20/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-2 HT 1-1	Afturelding
16/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Afturelding	7-2 HT 4-2	Njardvik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	21	14	3	4	64	31	45
2	Throttur Reykjavik	21	12	4	5	48	25	40
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	21	13	1	7	48	34	40
4	HK Kopavogur	21	11	2	8	50	39	35
5	Njardvik	21	11	2	8	36	28	35
6	Leiknir Reykjavik	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
7	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	21	8	3	10	36	41	27
8	IF Vestri	21	8	3	10	30	41	27
9	IR Reykjavik	21	7	4	10	37	44	25
10	Grindavik	21	5	9	7	24	34	24
11	Volsungur	21	6	5	10	30	44	23
12	KF Aegir	21	2	2	17	24	68	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Njardvik	Afturelding
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-2 L	3-2 W
Volsungur	4-0 W	6-1 W
IR Reykjavik	1-3 L	1-0 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	4-1 W	2-0 W
IF Vestri	3-1 W	2-0 W
KF Aegir	1-0 W	7-0 W
HK Kopavogur	3-2 W	2-2 D
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-4 L	3-3 D
Grindavik	5-4 W	4-1 W
Throttur Reykjavik	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Afturelding (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Njardvik

WWLWWWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
22/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/08	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-3	12	4	L
13/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	4-1	5	2	W
08/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
28/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
17/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	2	4	L
10/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	5-4	6	4	W
03/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	15	6	W

Afturelding

WWWLWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	12	6	W
21/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	7-0	12	3	W
17/08	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
13/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	5	4	D
07/08	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	4-1	6	2	W
29/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
16/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	3-2	5	3	W
11/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	6-1	4	9	W
03/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs Afturelding?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Afturelding win (51%). Probabilities: Njardvik 26%, draw 23%, Afturelding 51%.

How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs Afturelding?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Njardvik 1.61 · Afturelding 2.28), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Afturelding?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.