Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: IF Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik
Team pages: IF Vestri · Throttur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
IF Vestri1.08
Throttur Reykjavik2.15
1X2
IF Vestri
Draw
Throttur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
IF Vestri
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Throttur Reykjavik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Vestri
5–1–0
Throttur Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik1-1IF Vestri
- Throttur Reykjavik0-1IF Vestri
- IF Vestri2-1Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik1-2IF Vestri
- IF Vestri2-1Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik1-3IF Vestri
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Vestri 1436 · Throttur Reykjavik 1531
| IF Vestri | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1436 vs 1531).
- H2H favours IF Vestri: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Vestri | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Vestri 5–1–0 Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IF Vestri |
| 25/03/25 Iceland League Cup C | Throttur Reykjavik | 0-1 HT 0-1 | IF Vestri |
| 09/09/23 Iceland 1 Deild | IF Vestri | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 08/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-2 HT 1-1 | IF Vestri |
| 17/07/21 Iceland 1 Deild | IF Vestri | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 15/05/21 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-3 HT 0-0 | IF Vestri |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 31 | 45 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 40 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 39 | 35 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 28 |
| 7 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 27 |
| 8 | IF Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 27 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 25 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 24 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 44 | 23 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 68 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Vestri | Throttur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Volsungur | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Njardvik | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| HK Kopavogur | 2-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Vestri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 20/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
3-2 | 7-2 | 19 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 13/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 03/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (61%). Probabilities: IF Vestri 17%, draw 22%, Throttur Reykjavik 61%.
How many goals are expected in IF Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.23 goals (IF Vestri 1.08 · Throttur Reykjavik 2.15), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.