Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 25/07, 08:00

Prediction: Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Bentleigh Greens (W)2.43

Melbourne City NPL (W)1.49

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Bentleigh Greens (W) Draw Melbourne City NPL (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bentleigh Greens (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDLLD

Melbourne City NPL (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–1 Melbourne City NPL (W) (1 last)

Melbourne City NPL (W)5-1Bentleigh Greens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1412 · Melbourne City NPL (W) 1397

	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Draw	Melbourne City NPL (W)
Our model	58%	20%	22%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Melbourne City NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.1 / 4.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 2.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.10

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +5’	1.57	4.10	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–0–1 Melbourne City NPL (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Melbourne City NPL (W)	5-1 HT 1-1	Bentleigh Greens (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	21	15	2	4	57	24	47
2	Essendon Royals (W)	21	14	2	5	57	24	44
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	21	13	4	4	51	20	43
4	Avondale FC (W)	21	13	2	6	51	22	41
5	South Melbourne (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
6	Boroondara Eagles (W)	21	12	1	8	45	33	37
7	Alamein FC (W)	21	11	3	7	28	22	36
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	20	8	2	10	35	40	26
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	21	8	2	11	25	30	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	21	6	5	10	32	40	23
11	Keilor Park (W)	21	6	5	10	22	37	23
12	Preston Lions (W)	21	5	5	11	25	41	20
13	Melbourne City NPL (W)	20	2	1	17	20	78	7
14	Bentleigh Greens (W)	21	1	2	18	15	74	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Melbourne City NPL (W)
Keilor Park (W)	1-1 D	1-3 L
Avondale FC (W)	0-3 L	1-6 L
Bulleen Lions (W)	0-1 L	0-5 L
Alamein FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Box Hill (W)	1-3 L	1-5 L
South Melbourne (W)	0-2 L	2-9 L
Heidelberg United (W)	1-2 L	3-9 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	0 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Bentleigh Greens (W) (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentleigh Greens (W)

LLLLWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	0	0	L
03/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
26/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
19/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
05/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/05	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	1-3	2	0	L
23/05	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
15/05	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-2	0	0	L
10/05	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	3-5	4	1	L

Melbourne City NPL (W)

LLLLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
04/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	1-3	2	0	L
27/06	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	1-6	0	0	L
20/06	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-5	3	1	L
06/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
29/05	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
24/05	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
15/05	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-5	8	1	L
09/05	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-7	2-9	0	1	L
02/05	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-4	3-9	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bentleigh Greens (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens (W) 57%, draw 21%, Melbourne City NPL (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Bentleigh Greens (W) 2.43 · Melbourne City NPL (W) 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.