Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Boroondara Eagles (W)1.7

Spring Hills FC (W)1.01

1X2

53% 24% 22%

Boroondara Eagles (W) Draw Spring Hills FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boroondara Eagles (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLLW

Spring Hills FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Boroondara Eagles (W) 2–1–0 Spring Hills FC (W) (3 last)

Spring Hills FC (W)2-3Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)1-1Spring Hills FC (W)
Spring Hills FC (W)0-2Boroondara Eagles (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1508 · Spring Hills FC (W) 1480

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Draw	Spring Hills FC (W)
Our model	52%	26%	21%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Boroondara Eagles (W): 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Spring Hills FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	0.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	1.6 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +8’	1.65	3.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroondara Eagles (W) 2–1–0 Spring Hills FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Spring Hills FC (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)
05/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Spring Hills FC (W)
04/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Spring Hills FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Boroondara Eagles (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	21	15	2	4	57	24	47
2	Essendon Royals (W)	21	14	2	5	57	24	44
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	21	13	4	4	51	20	43
4	Avondale FC (W)	21	13	2	6	51	22	41
5	South Melbourne (W)	21	11	6	4	42	20	39
6	Boroondara Eagles (W)	21	12	1	8	45	33	37
7	Alamein FC (W)	21	11	3	7	28	22	36
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	20	8	2	10	35	40	26
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	21	8	2	11	25	30	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	21	6	5	10	32	40	23
11	Keilor Park (W)	21	6	5	10	22	37	23
12	Preston Lions (W)	21	5	5	11	25	41	20
13	Melbourne City NPL (W)	20	2	1	17	20	78	7
14	Bentleigh Greens (W)	21	1	2	18	15	74	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Spring Hills FC (W)
Preston Lions (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Box Hill (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Heidelberg United (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Essendon Royals (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Keilor Park (W)	5-2 W	1-2 L
Avondale FC (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Spring Hills FC (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Boroondara Eagles (W)

LWWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	4-2	4	0	W
14/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	5	0	L
24/05	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
16/05	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-1	5-2	7	2	W
10/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-2	2	2	L

Spring Hills FC (W)

WLDLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
11/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	0	0	L
03/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
26/06	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
06/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-2	1	1	L
02/06	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
29/05	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
23/05	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-2	6	1	L
16/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boroondara Eagles (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Boroondara Eagles (W) 53%, draw 24%, Spring Hills FC (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.7 · Spring Hills FC (W) 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.