Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Spring Hills FC (W) vs Avondale FC (W)

Team pages: Spring Hills FC (W) · Avondale FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Spring Hills FC (W)0.71

Avondale FC (W)2.22

1X2

11% 17% 72%

Spring Hills FC (W) Draw Avondale FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Spring Hills FC (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLLL

Avondale FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDD

Head-to-head

Spring Hills FC (W) 1–0 Avondale FC (W) (1 last)

Avondale FC (W)0-1Spring Hills FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spring Hills FC (W) 1457 · Avondale FC (W) 1587

	Spring Hills FC (W)	Draw	Avondale FC (W)
Our model	10%	19%	71%
Market	12%	15%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1457 vs 1587).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spring Hills FC (W)	Avondale FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	2.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2	2.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.50

X6.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)2.00

2 (-1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00
X	6.00 → 5.75▼	Bet365 5.75
2	1.22 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:04 +21’	7.50	6.00	1.22
23:42 +13’	7.00▼	5.75▼	1.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spring Hills FC (W) 1–0–0 Avondale FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Avondale FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Spring Hills FC (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	25	18	3	4	66	27	57
2	Essendon Royals (W)	25	18	2	5	76	28	56
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	25	16	4	5	59	26	52
4	Avondale FC (W)	25	15	4	6	60	26	49
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	25	14	2	9	51	38	44
6	South Melbourne (W)	25	12	6	7	46	24	42
7	Alamein FC (W)	25	12	3	10	32	27	39
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	25	11	2	12	47	52	35
9	Heidelberg United (W)	25	8	5	12	37	48	29
10	Preston Lions (W)	25	7	6	12	29	46	27
11	Spring Hills FC (W)	25	8	2	15	29	41	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	25	7	5	13	23	43	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	25	3	3	19	22	80	12
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	25	2	1	22	22	93	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spring Hills FC (W)	Avondale FC (W)
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-2 L	3-3 D
Box Hill (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
South Melbourne (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Heidelberg United (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Preston Lions (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Essendon Royals (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Avondale FC (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spring Hills FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-1	2-3	0	1	L
14/08	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
09/08	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
25/07	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
11/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	0	0	L
03/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
26/06	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
06/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-2	1	1	L

Avondale FC (W)

WWWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	3-3	11	0	D
14/08	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
08/08	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	4-0	4-0	4	0	W
18/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
10/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
04/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	4-2	4	1	W
27/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	3-0	6-1	10	0	W
20/06	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	12	0	W
06/06	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Avondale FC (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Spring Hills FC (W) 11%, draw 17%, Avondale FC (W) 72%.

How many goals are expected in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Spring Hills FC (W) 0.71 · Avondale FC (W) 2.22), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.