Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 21/08, 12:30

Prediction: Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Preston Lions (W)

Team pages: Bentleigh Greens (W) · Preston Lions (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Bentleigh Greens (W)1.36

Preston Lions (W)1.81

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Bentleigh Greens (W) Draw Preston Lions (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bentleigh Greens (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDWLW

Preston Lions (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLWWL

Head-to-head

Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–5 Preston Lions (W) (5 last)

Preston Lions (W)5-3Bentleigh Greens (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)0-1Preston Lions (W)
Preston Lions (W)4-3Bentleigh Greens (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)1-7Preston Lions (W)
Preston Lions (W)3-0Bentleigh Greens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1466 · Preston Lions (W) 1469

	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Draw	Preston Lions (W)
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Preston Lions (W): 5-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Preston Lions (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.2	0.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.50

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:17 +5’	3.25	3.50	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–0–5 Preston Lions (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	5-3 HT 1-1	Bentleigh Greens (W)
18/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Preston Lions (W)
25/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	4-3 HT 1-1	Bentleigh Greens (W)
13/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-7 HT 1-3	Preston Lions (W)
28/04/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Preston Lions (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Bentleigh Greens (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	24	17	3	4	63	27	54
2	Essendon Royals (W)	24	17	2	5	73	27	53
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	24	15	4	5	56	24	49
4	Avondale FC (W)	24	15	3	6	57	23	48
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	24	14	1	9	48	35	43
6	South Melbourne (W)	24	11	6	7	43	24	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	24	12	3	9	31	25	39
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	24	10	2	12	45	51	32
9	Heidelberg United (W)	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
10	Spring Hills FC (W)	24	8	2	14	27	38	26
11	Preston Lions (W)	24	7	5	12	29	46	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	24	7	5	12	23	40	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	24	3	2	19	22	80	11
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	24	2	1	21	22	90	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bentleigh Greens (W)	Preston Lions (W)
Essendon Royals (W)	2-5 L	1-5 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Keilor Park (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Avondale FC (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Bulleen Lions (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Alamein FC (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Box Hill (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Bentleigh Greens (W) (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentleigh Greens (W)

LWLDLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
08/08	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	2-5	1	1	L
25/07	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
18/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	0	0	L
03/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
26/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
19/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
05/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/05	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	1-3	2	0	L

Preston Lions (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-5	3	2	L
07/08	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-0	12	2	W
24/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
18/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
14/07	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
10/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
04/07	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
26/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
07/06	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
30/05	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Preston Lions (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens (W) 28%, draw 25%, Preston Lions (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Bentleigh Greens (W) 1.36 · Preston Lions (W) 1.81), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.