Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)

Team pages: Avondale FC (W) · Boroondara Eagles (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Avondale FC (W)2.19

Boroondara Eagles (W)1.18

1X2

60% 22% 19%

Avondale FC (W) Draw Boroondara Eagles (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Avondale FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWD

Boroondara Eagles (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Avondale FC (W) 1–0 Boroondara Eagles (W) (1 last)

Boroondara Eagles (W)1-2Avondale FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avondale FC (W) 1613 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1487

	Avondale FC (W)	Draw	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Our model	60%	22%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1613 vs 1487).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avondale FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0.1	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:36 +3’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Avondale FC (W) 1–0–0 Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Avondale FC (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	24	17	3	4	63	27	54
2	Essendon Royals (W)	24	17	2	5	73	27	53
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	24	15	4	5	56	24	49
4	Avondale FC (W)	24	15	3	6	57	23	48
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	24	14	1	9	48	35	43
6	South Melbourne (W)	24	11	6	7	43	24	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	24	12	3	9	31	25	39
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	24	10	2	12	45	51	32
9	Heidelberg United (W)	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
10	Spring Hills FC (W)	24	8	2	14	27	38	26
11	Preston Lions (W)	24	7	5	12	29	46	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	24	7	5	12	23	40	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	24	3	2	19	22	80	11
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	24	2	1	21	22	90	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avondale FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Box Hill (W)	1-1 D	1-3 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Heidelberg United (W)	4-0 W	3-1 W
Preston Lions (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Bentleigh Greens (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Essendon Royals (W)	4-2 W	0-4 L
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2-1 W	4-2 W
Bulleen Lions (W)	3-3 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Avondale FC (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avondale FC (W)

DWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
08/08	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	4-0	4-0	4	0	W
18/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
10/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
04/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	4-2	4	1	W
27/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	3-0	6-1	10	0	W
20/06	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	12	0	W
06/06	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
30/05	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	3-3	3	0	D

Boroondara Eagles (W)

LLWWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
08/08	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
25/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-1	7	0	W
19/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	4-2	4	0	W
14/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avondale FC (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Avondale FC (W) 60%, draw 22%, Boroondara Eagles (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Avondale FC (W) 2.19 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Avondale FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.