Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 22/08, 08:00

Prediction: Bulleen Lions (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)

Team pages: Bulleen Lions (W) · Spring Hills FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Bulleen Lions (W)2.19

Spring Hills FC (W)0.6

1X2

74% 17% 9%

Bulleen Lions (W) Draw Spring Hills FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Bulleen Lions (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Spring Hills FC (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Bulleen Lions (W) 4–0 Spring Hills FC (W) (4 last)

Spring Hills FC (W)0-1Bulleen Lions (W)
Spring Hills FC (W)0-1Bulleen Lions (W)
Bulleen Lions (W)3-1Spring Hills FC (W)
Spring Hills FC (W)0-1Bulleen Lions (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulleen Lions (W) 1550 · Spring Hills FC (W) 1435

	Bulleen Lions (W)	Draw	Spring Hills FC (W)
Our model	73%	19%	8%
Market	75%	16%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulleen Lions (W) (rating 1550 vs 1435).
H2H favours Bulleen Lions (W): 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulleen Lions (W)	Spring Hills FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	1.2 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.20

X5.75

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:37 +3’	1.20	5.75	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulleen Lions (W) 4–0–0 Spring Hills FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Australia Victoria Cup Women	Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Bulleen Lions (W)
08/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions (W)
21/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Spring Hills FC (W)
21/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Spring Hills FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	24	17	3	4	63	27	54
2	Essendon Royals (W)	24	17	2	5	73	27	53
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	24	15	4	5	56	24	49
4	Avondale FC (W)	24	15	3	6	57	23	48
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	24	14	1	9	48	35	43
6	South Melbourne (W)	24	11	6	7	43	24	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	24	12	3	9	31	25	39
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	24	10	2	12	45	51	32
9	Heidelberg United (W)	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
10	Spring Hills FC (W)	24	8	2	14	27	38	26
11	Preston Lions (W)	24	7	5	12	29	46	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	24	7	5	12	23	40	26
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	24	3	2	19	22	80	11
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	24	2	1	21	22	90	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulleen Lions (W)	Spring Hills FC (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Box Hill (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
South Melbourne (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Heidelberg United (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Essendon Royals (W)	2-4 L	1-2 L
Preston Lions (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Spring Hills FC (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bulleen Lions (W)

WWDWDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
08/08	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
18/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	2-2	2-4	3	3	L
10/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
03/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
30/06	Box Hill (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
27/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
20/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	5-0	7	1	W

Spring Hills FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
09/08	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
25/07	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
11/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	0	0	L
03/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
26/06	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
06/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-2	1	1	L
02/06	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulleen Lions (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Bulleen Lions (W) 74%, draw 17%, Spring Hills FC (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Bulleen Lions (W) 2.19 · Spring Hills FC (W) 0.6), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.