Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 08/08, 07:00

Prediction: Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)

Team pages: Alamein FC (W) · Boroondara Eagles (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Alamein FC (W)1.49

Boroondara Eagles (W)1.52

1X2

36% 26% 38%

Alamein FC (W) Draw Boroondara Eagles (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Alamein FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Boroondara Eagles (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Alamein FC (W) 2–1–3 Boroondara Eagles (W) (6 last)

Boroondara Eagles (W)2-1Alamein FC (W)
Alamein FC (W)2-1Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)3-0Alamein FC (W)
Alamein FC (W)4-3Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)1-0Alamein FC (W)
Alamein FC (W)3-3Boroondara Eagles (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alamein FC (W) 1496 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1525

	Alamein FC (W)	Draw	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	37%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Boroondara Eagles (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alamein FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:31 +7’	2.45	3.50	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alamein FC (W) 2–1–3 Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Alamein FC (W)
02/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Alamein FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)
10/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Alamein FC (W)
15/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Alamein FC (W)	4-3 HT 2-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)
23/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Alamein FC (W)
24/06/23 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Alamein FC (W)	3-3 HT 3-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	22	16	2	4	59	24	50
2	Essendon Royals (W)	22	15	2	5	63	24	47
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	22	14	4	4	53	21	46
4	Avondale FC (W)	22	14	2	6	55	22	44
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	22	13	1	8	47	34	40
6	South Melbourne (W)	22	11	6	5	43	22	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	22	11	3	8	28	24	36
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	22	9	2	11	41	47	29
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	22	8	2	12	26	32	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	22	6	5	11	32	44	23
11	Preston Lions (W)	22	6	5	11	26	41	23
12	Keilor Park (W)	22	6	5	11	22	38	23
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	22	2	2	18	17	74	8
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	22	2	1	19	21	86	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alamein FC (W)	Boroondara Eagles (W)
Box Hill (W)	0-2 L	1-3 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Heidelberg United (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
Preston Lions (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Essendon Royals (W)	0-2 L	0-4 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Keilor Park (W)	3-0 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alamein FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
18/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
11/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
04/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
20/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
06/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
30/05	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	3-0	2	5	W
23/05	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	8	1	L
16/05	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-2	3	2	L

Boroondara Eagles (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-1	7	0	W
19/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	4-2	4	0	W
14/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	5	0	L
24/05	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
16/05	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-1	5-2	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Boroondara Eagles (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Alamein FC (W) 36%, draw 26%, Boroondara Eagles (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Alamein FC (W) 1.49 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.