Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 16/08, 07:00

Prediction: Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)

Team pages: Boroondara Eagles (W) · Bulleen Lions (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Boroondara Eagles (W)1.3

Bulleen Lions (W)1.72

1X2

29% 25% 47%

Boroondara Eagles (W) Draw Bulleen Lions (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boroondara Eagles (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWWW

Bulleen Lions (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDLDWL

Head-to-head

Boroondara Eagles (W) 0–1–5 Bulleen Lions (W) (6 last)

Bulleen Lions (W)2-1Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)0-1Bulleen Lions (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)1-1Bulleen Lions (W)
Bulleen Lions (W)3-0Boroondara Eagles (W)
Bulleen Lions (W)6-2Boroondara Eagles (W)
Boroondara Eagles (W)2-4Bulleen Lions (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1513 · Bulleen Lions (W) 1543

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Draw	Bulleen Lions (W)
Our model	28%	26%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bulleen Lions (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Bulleen Lions (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +9’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroondara Eagles (W) 0–1–5 Bulleen Lions (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Boroondara Eagles (W)
20/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Bulleen Lions (W)
05/06/25 Australia Victoria Cup Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions (W)
26/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Boroondara Eagles (W)
22/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bulleen Lions (W)	6-2 HT 3-1	Boroondara Eagles (W)
30/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Boroondara Eagles (W)	2-4 HT 1-2	Bulleen Lions (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	23	17	2	4	62	26	53
2	Essendon Royals (W)	23	16	2	5	68	26	50
3	Avondale FC (W)	23	15	2	6	56	22	47
4	Bulleen Lions (W)	23	14	4	5	55	24	46
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	23	14	1	8	48	34	43
6	South Melbourne (W)	23	11	6	6	43	23	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	23	11	3	9	28	25	36
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	23	10	2	11	44	48	32
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	23	8	2	13	27	35	26
10	Heidelberg United (W)	23	7	5	11	34	44	26
11	Preston Lions (W)	23	7	5	11	28	41	26
12	Keilor Park (W)	23	6	5	12	22	40	23
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	23	2	2	19	19	79	8
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	23	2	1	20	21	88	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boroondara Eagles (W)	Bulleen Lions (W)
Preston Lions (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Box Hill (W)	1-3 L	2-3 L
South Melbourne (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Heidelberg United (W)	3-1 W	1-1 D
Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Essendon Royals (W)	0-4 L	2-4 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	3-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Boroondara Eagles (W)

WLLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
25/07	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	2-1	7	0	W
19/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-2	4-2	4	0	W
14/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
05/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
27/06	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-4	5	0	L
24/05	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W

Bulleen Lions (W)

LWWDWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
18/07	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/07	Essendon Royals (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	2-2	2-4	3	3	L
10/07	Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
03/07	Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
30/06	Box Hill (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
27/06	Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
20/06	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	5-0	7	1	W
06/06	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-1	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bulleen Lions (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Boroondara Eagles (W) 29%, draw 25%, Bulleen Lions (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.3 · Bulleen Lions (W) 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Boroondara Eagles (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.