Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 08/08, 07:00

Prediction: Essendon Royals (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)

Team pages: Essendon Royals (W) · Bentleigh Greens (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Essendon Royals (W)2.94

Bentleigh Greens (W)1.36

1X2

69% 16% 14%

Essendon Royals (W) Draw Bentleigh Greens (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Essendon Royals (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Bentleigh Greens (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Essendon Royals (W) 5–0 Bentleigh Greens (W) (5 last)

Bentleigh Greens (W)0-7Essendon Royals (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)1-2Essendon Royals (W)
Essendon Royals (W)3-2Bentleigh Greens (W)
Essendon Royals (W)3-1Bentleigh Greens (W)
Bentleigh Greens (W)0-1Essendon Royals (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Essendon Royals (W) (rating 1616 vs 1434).
H2H favours Essendon Royals (W): 5-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Essendon Royals (W)	Bentleigh Greens (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	1 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.79

Under 41.94

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.05▼	Pinn 1.05
X	11.69 → 12.13▲	Pinn 12.13
2	16.15 → 17.05▲	Pinn 17.05

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:17 +1’	1.06	11.69	16.15
00:53	1.05▼	12.13▲	17.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Essendon Royals (W) 5–0–0 Bentleigh Greens (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-7 HT 0-4	Essendon Royals (W)
01/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Essendon Royals (W)
10/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Essendon Royals (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	Bentleigh Greens (W)
10/08/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Essendon Royals (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Bentleigh Greens (W)
18/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women	Bentleigh Greens (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Essendon Royals (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Box Hill (W)	22	16	2	4	59	24	50
2	Essendon Royals (W)	22	15	2	5	63	24	47
3	Bulleen Lions (W)	22	14	4	4	53	21	46
4	Avondale FC (W)	22	14	2	6	55	22	44
5	Boroondara Eagles (W)	22	13	1	8	47	34	40
6	South Melbourne (W)	22	11	6	5	43	22	39
7	Alamein FC (W)	22	11	3	8	28	24	36
8	Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	22	9	2	11	41	47	29
9	Spring Hills FC (W)	22	8	2	12	26	32	26
10	Preston Lions (W)	23	7	5	11	28	41	26
11	Heidelberg United (W)	22	6	5	11	32	44	23
12	Keilor Park (W)	22	6	5	11	22	38	23
13	Bentleigh Greens (W)	22	2	2	18	17	74	8
14	Melbourne City NPL (W)	23	2	1	20	21	88	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Essendon Royals (W)	Bentleigh Greens (W)
Heidelberg United (W)	4-1 W	1-2 L
Melbourne City NPL (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Bulleen Lions (W)	4-2 W	0-1 L
Keilor Park (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Avondale FC (W)	2-4 L	0-3 L
Alamein FC (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Spring Hills FC (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Boroondara Eagles (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Essendon Royals (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Essendon Royals (W)

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Heidelberg United (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	1-0	4-1	2	1	W
25/07	Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	6-0	5	0	W
18/07	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-1	3-1	9	0	W
15/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women	2-2	4-2	0	3	W
11/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
04/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	2-4	2	1	L
27/06	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
20/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
06/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	2-1	9	1	W
31/05	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	4-0	9	0	W

Bentleigh Greens (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
18/07	Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/07	Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-1	0-3	0	0	L
03/07	Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
26/06	Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
19/06	Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
05/06	Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/05	Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-3	1-3	2	0	L
23/05	South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
15/05	Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women	0-0	1-2	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Essendon Royals (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Essendon Royals (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Essendon Royals (W) 69%, draw 16%, Bentleigh Greens (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Essendon Royals (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Essendon Royals (W) 2.94 · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Essendon Royals (W) vs Bentleigh Greens (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.