Prediction: Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)

Expected goals: 3.85 (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.96 · Avondale FC (W) 2.89). The model gives 9% home, 15% draw, 76% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Bentleigh Greens (W) sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Avondale FC (W) arrives on a 7-1-2 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Bentleigh Greens (W) and 1 for Avondale FC (W).

76%2
9% 15% 76%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1405 · Avondale FC (W) 1570
Bentleigh Greens (W)DrawAvondale FC (W)
Our model9%15%76%
Market9%15%76%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.85Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.96 · Avondale FC (W) 2.89
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1405 vs 1570).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bentleigh Greens (W)Avondale FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 2.72.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.40.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 1.81.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.9 / 00.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 001 Avondale FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia NPL Victoria Women
Avondale FC (W)5-1
HT 2-1
Bentleigh Greens (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bulleen Lions (W) 191324 481741
2 Box Hill (W) 191324 532341
3 Essendon Royals (W) 191225 512338
4 Avondale FC (W) 191126 452235
5 South Melbourne (W) 191054 401935
6 Boroondara Eagles (W) 181116 392634
7 Alamein FC (W) 191027 252032
8 Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 19829 333626
9 Spring Hills FC (W) 19829 252826
10 Heidelberg United (W) 19649 303722
11 Keilor Park (W) 19649 213322
12 Preston Lions (W) 184410 213516
13 Melbourne City NPL (W) 192116 19757
14 Bentleigh Greens (W) 191117 14704

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBentleigh Greens (W)Avondale FC (W)
Bulleen Lions (W) 0-1 L 3-3 D
Alamein FC (W) 1-1 D 4-0 W
Spring Hills FC (W) 0-1 L 0-1 L
Boroondara Eagles (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Box Hill (W) 1-3 L 1-0 W
Heidelberg United (W) 1-2 L 1-3 L
Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 0-5 L 2-1 W
Essendon Royals (W) 0-7 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Avondale FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentleigh Greens (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Bulleen Lions (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 0-1 01 L
26/06 Alamein FC (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
1-1 1-1 52 D
19/06 Spring Hills FC (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 0-1 12 L
05/06 Boroondara Eagles (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
1-0 1-0 12 W
29/05 Box Hill (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-3 1-3 20 L
23/05 South Melbourne (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-2 0-2 20 L
15/05 Heidelberg United (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 1-2 00 L
10/05 Preston Lions (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
1-1 3-5 41 L
03/05 Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-3 0-5 20 L
24/04 Essendon Royals (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-4 0-7 11 L

Avondale FC (W)

WWLLWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Essendon Royals (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
2-0 4-2 41 W
27/06 Melbourne City NPL (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
3-0 6-1 100 W
20/06 Keilor Park (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 2-0 120 W
06/06 Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 2-1 13 W
30/05 Bulleen Lions (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
1-1 3-3 30 D
23/05 Alamein FC (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
1-0 4-0 41 W
19/05 Heidelberg United (W)
Australia Victoria Cup Women
1-2 1-3 42 L
16/05 Spring Hills FC (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 0-1 40 L
10/05 Boroondara Eagles (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-1 2-1 22 W
02/05 Box Hill (W)
Australia NPL Victoria Women
0-0 1-0 90 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Avondale FC (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens (W) 9%, draw 15%, Avondale FC (W) 76%.

How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.96 · Avondale FC (W) 2.89), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.