Prediction: Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)
Expected goals: 3.85 (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.96 · Avondale FC (W) 2.89). The model gives 9% home, 15% draw, 76% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Bentleigh Greens (W) sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Avondale FC (W) arrives on a 7-1-2 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Bentleigh Greens (W) and 1 for Avondale FC (W).
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Draw | Avondale FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1405 vs 1570).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Avondale FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.7 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–0–1 Avondale FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Avondale FC (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Box Hill (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals (W) | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | Avondale FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 35 |
| 5 | South Melbourne (W) | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 22 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 75 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 70 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bentleigh Greens (W) | Avondale FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bulleen Lions (W) | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Alamein FC (W) | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Spring Hills FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Boroondara Eagles (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Box Hill (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Heidelberg United (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 0-7 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Avondale FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bentleigh Greens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
Avondale FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Avondale FC (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens (W) 9%, draw 15%, Avondale FC (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.96 · Avondale FC (W) 2.89), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Avondale FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.

