Prediction: South Melbourne (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.55 (South Melbourne (W) 1.91 · Spring Hills FC (W) 0.63). The model gives 68% home, 20% draw, 12% away. Under 3.25 goals (59%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, South Melbourne (W) is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Spring Hills FC (W) 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, South Melbourne (W) won 1 and Spring Hills FC (W) 2, with 1 draw.
| South Melbourne (W) | Draw | Spring Hills FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Spring Hills FC (W): 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Melbourne (W) | Spring Hills FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Melbourne (W) 1–1–2 Spring Hills FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Spring Hills FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | South Melbourne (W) |
| 25/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Spring Hills FC (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | South Melbourne (W) |
| 02/07/25 Australia Victoria Cup Women | South Melbourne (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spring Hills FC (W) |
| 03/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | South Melbourne (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Spring Hills FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Box Hill (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals (W) | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | Avondale FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 35 |
| 5 | South Melbourne (W) | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 22 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 75 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 70 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South Melbourne (W) | Spring Hills FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Heidelberg United (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Preston Lions (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | 9-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Keilor Park (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Avondale FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: South Melbourne (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Melbourne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
7-1 | 9-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Spring Hills FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/06 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Melbourne (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Melbourne (W) win (68%). Probabilities: South Melbourne (W) 68%, draw 20%, Spring Hills FC (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in South Melbourne (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?
The model expects 2.55 goals (South Melbourne (W) 1.91 · Spring Hills FC (W) 0.63), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in South Melbourne (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.