Prediction: Heidelberg United (W) vs Alamein FC (W)
Expected goals: 3.13 (Heidelberg United (W) 1.5 · Alamein FC (W) 1.63). The model gives 34% home, 26% draw, 40% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Heidelberg United (W) sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Alamein FC (W) arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Heidelberg United (W) won 4 and Alamein FC (W) 1, with 1 draw.
| Heidelberg United (W) | Draw | Alamein FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Heidelberg United (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heidelberg United (W) | Alamein FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidelberg United (W) 4–1–1 Alamein FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 13/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 12/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 08/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 15/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 05/08/23 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 7-2 HT 3-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Box Hill (W) | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals (W) | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | Avondale FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 35 |
| 5 | South Melbourne (W) | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 22 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 75 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 70 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heidelberg United (W) | Alamein FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Spring Hills FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Preston Lions (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Avondale FC (W) | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | 9-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Heidelberg United (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heidelberg United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
4-0 | 9-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
Alamein FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Bundoora Utd (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heidelberg United (W) vs Alamein FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alamein FC (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Heidelberg United (W) 34%, draw 26%, Alamein FC (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Heidelberg United (W) vs Alamein FC (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Heidelberg United (W) 1.5 · Alamein FC (W) 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Heidelberg United (W) vs Alamein FC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.